Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a raid in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges, with a trial scheduled for June 2027 after they pleaded not guilty. Recent developments include Flores seeking pretrial release on health grounds in September 2026 and ongoing defense motions challenging the operation on immunity and procedural grounds. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued cooperation with Washington, including energy agreements, while Maduro’s legal team continues pretrial arguments. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline to trial, limited bail prospects, and potential for diplomatic or health-related shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,689,569 交易量
12月31日
7%
$2,689,569 交易量
12月31日
7%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a raid in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges, with a trial scheduled for June 2027 after they pleaded not guilty. Recent developments include Flores seeking pretrial release on health grounds in September 2026 and ongoing defense motions challenging the operation on immunity and procedural grounds. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued cooperation with Washington, including energy agreements, while Maduro’s legal team continues pretrial arguments. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline to trial, limited bail prospects, and potential for diplomatic or health-related shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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