Cory Booker's commanding 96.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Senate race stems primarily from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 1972, combined with strong fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad name recognition. Justin Murphy, who secured the Republican nomination in a June 2026 four-way primary with 33.4% of the vote, lacks comparable statewide profile or resources as a former Tabernacle deputy mayor. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting New Jersey's partisan baseline. A scheduled October 8 debate and mail-in ballot distribution beginning September 19 represent near-term events, though significant shifts would require major national political changes or unforeseen developments to alter the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,503 交易量
$20,503 交易量
2026-11-02
科里·布克（民主党）
97%
贾斯汀·墨菲（共和党）
4%
$20,503 交易量
$20,503 交易量
2026-11-02
科里·布克（民主党）
$10,809 交易量
97%
贾斯汀·墨菲（共和党）
$9,694 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker's commanding 96.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Senate race stems primarily from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 1972, combined with strong fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad name recognition. Justin Murphy, who secured the Republican nomination in a June 2026 four-way primary with 33.4% of the vote, lacks comparable statewide profile or resources as a former Tabernacle deputy mayor. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting New Jersey's partisan baseline. A scheduled October 8 debate and mail-in ballot distribution beginning September 19 represent near-term events, though significant shifts would require major national political changes or unforeseen developments to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$20,503结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker's commanding 96.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Senate race stems primarily from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 1972, combined with strong fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad name recognition. Justin Murphy, who secured the Republican nomination in a June 2026 four-way primary with 33.4% of the vote, lacks comparable statewide profile or resources as a former Tabernacle deputy mayor. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting New Jersey's partisan baseline. A scheduled October 8 debate and mail-in ballot distribution beginning September 19 represent near-term events, though significant shifts would require major national political changes or unforeseen developments to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$20,503结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETCory Booker's commanding 96.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Senate race stems primarily from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 1972, combined with strong fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad name recognition. Justin Murphy, who secured the Republican nomination in a June 2026 four-way primary with 33.4% of the vote, lacks comparable statewide profile or resources as a former Tabernacle deputy mayor. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting New Jersey's partisan baseline. A scheduled October 8 debate and mail-in ballot distribution beginning September 19 represent near-term events, though significant shifts would require major national political changes or unforeseen developments to alter the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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