**Forecast models point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver of Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 21, with expected lows of 22–24 °C.** Sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and a moderating Mediterranean influence limit how far the air can drop, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset. Recent model runs show only minor disagreements on exact wind speeds and dew-point recovery overnight, creating tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 21–25 °C band. Any increase in low-level moisture or a brief increase in cloud cover could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, keeping trader probabilities balanced between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月21日特拉维夫最低气温？
21°C 97%
18°C或以下 95%
26°C 56%
25°C 50%
$1,103 交易量
$1,103 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
95%
19°C
48%
20°C
2%
21°C
97%
22°C
-
23°C
40%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
56%
27°C
8%
28°C或更高
4%
21°C 97%
18°C或以下 95%
26°C 56%
25°C 50%
$1,103 交易量
$1,103 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
95%
19°C
$0 交易量
48%
20°C
$15 交易量
2%
21°C
$15 交易量
97%
22°C
$65 交易量
-
23°C
$186 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
48%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$63 交易量
56%
27°C
$562 交易量
8%
28°C或更高
$197 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver of Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 21, with expected lows of 22–24 °C.**
Sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and a moderating Mediterranean influence limit how far the air can drop, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset. Recent model runs show only minor disagreements on exact wind speeds and dew-point recovery overnight, creating tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 21–25 °C band. Any increase in low-level moisture or a brief increase in cloud cover could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, keeping trader probabilities balanced between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,103结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver of Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 21, with expected lows of 22–24 °C.**
Sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and a moderating Mediterranean influence limit how far the air can drop, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset. Recent model runs show only minor disagreements on exact wind speeds and dew-point recovery overnight, creating tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 21–25 °C band. Any increase in low-level moisture or a brief increase in cloud cover could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, keeping trader probabilities balanced between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,103结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver of Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 21, with expected lows of 22–24 °C.** Sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and a moderating Mediterranean influence limit how far the air can drop, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset. Recent model runs show only minor disagreements on exact wind speeds and dew-point recovery overnight, creating tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 21–25 °C band. Any increase in low-level moisture or a brief increase in cloud cover could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, keeping trader probabilities balanced between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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