Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with strong trader consensus due to consistent polling dominance ahead of the September 27 first-round vote. Recent surveys, including OGB for Polsat News and Interia (15–17 September) and Opinia24 for Radio Kraków (9–14 September), place him at 34–39% support, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/PSL-backed) at 20–23%, Michał Drewnicki (PiS) at 9–15%, and others in single digits. Gibała benefits from his narrow 2024 runoff performance, independent "Kraków for Residents" positioning, and voter reaction to the May 2026 recall of Aleksander Miszalski over local issues such as debt and transport policy. Hypothetical runoff polls show him defeating Piątkowska by wide margins, while the fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates limits consolidation behind alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢卡什·吉巴瓦 79%
莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡 16%
米哈乌·德雷夫尼茨基 5.2%
Grażyna Zofia Świat 3.5%
$26,853 交易量
$26,853 交易量
卢卡什·吉巴瓦
79%
莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡
16%
米哈乌·德雷夫尼茨基
5%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
3%
达莉娅·戈塞克-波皮奥韦克
1%
玛尔塔·拉图申斯卡
<1%
玛丽安娜·施赖伯
<1%
扬·霍夫曼
<1%
马里安·巴纳什
<1%
拉法乌·科马雷维奇
<1%
亚历山德拉·奥夫查
<1%
拉法乌·索尼克
<1%
巴托什·博亨恰克
<1%
斯瓦沃米尔·彼得任克
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
米哈乌·克利梅克
<1%
卢卡什·吉巴瓦 79%
莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡 16%
米哈乌·德雷夫尼茨基 5.2%
Grażyna Zofia Świat 3.5%
$26,853 交易量
$26,853 交易量
卢卡什·吉巴瓦
79%
莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡
16%
米哈乌·德雷夫尼茨基
5%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
3%
达莉娅·戈塞克-波皮奥韦克
1%
玛尔塔·拉图申斯卡
<1%
玛丽安娜·施赖伯
<1%
扬·霍夫曼
<1%
马里安·巴纳什
<1%
拉法乌·科马雷维奇
<1%
亚历山德拉·奥夫查
<1%
拉法乌·索尼克
<1%
巴托什·博亨恰克
<1%
斯瓦沃米尔·彼得任克
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
米哈乌·克利梅克
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with strong trader consensus due to consistent polling dominance ahead of the September 27 first-round vote. Recent surveys, including OGB for Polsat News and Interia (15–17 September) and Opinia24 for Radio Kraków (9–14 September), place him at 34–39% support, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/PSL-backed) at 20–23%, Michał Drewnicki (PiS) at 9–15%, and others in single digits. Gibała benefits from his narrow 2024 runoff performance, independent "Kraków for Residents" positioning, and voter reaction to the May 2026 recall of Aleksander Miszalski over local issues such as debt and transport policy. Hypothetical runoff polls show him defeating Piątkowska by wide margins, while the fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates limits consolidation behind alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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