Skip to main content

如需在美国交易，请访问 polymarket.us

icon for Kash Patel在... ？
政治·特朗普

Kash Patel在... ？

icon for Kash Patel在... ？
政治·特朗普

Kash Patel在... ？

$1,738,243 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,738,243 交易量

Polymarket

September 30

$7,462 交易量

2%

12月31日

$389,101 交易量

21%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kash Patel serves as FBI Director under the Trump administration, confirmed in 2025, with his tenure marked by extensive personnel changes including the dismissal of numerous veteran agents tied to prior investigations. A September 15, 2026, Senate Judiciary Committee oversight hearing featured bipartisan questioning on agent firings, hiring standards, resource use, and potential election-related deployments, though Republican leadership highlighted crime reduction metrics and Patel defended operational shifts. Earlier 2026 episodes involving travel scrutiny, personal conduct allegations, and external leaks have periodically elevated departure probabilities on prediction platforms, yet administration alignment and lack of formal removal actions have sustained his position amid broader executive branch dynamics. Midterm election preparations and any further congressional reviews represent near-term focal points.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,738,243
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

结算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kash Patel serves as FBI Director under the Trump administration, confirmed in 2025, with his tenure marked by extensive personnel changes including the dismissal of numerous veteran agents tied to prior investigations. A September 15, 2026, Senate Judiciary Committee oversight hearing featured bipartisan questioning on agent firings, hiring standards, resource use, and potential election-related deployments, though Republican leadership highlighted crime reduction metrics and Patel defended operational shifts. Earlier 2026 episodes involving travel scrutiny, personal conduct allegations, and external leaks have periodically elevated departure probabilities on prediction platforms, yet administration alignment and lack of formal removal actions have sustained his position amid broader executive branch dynamics. Midterm election preparations and any further congressional reviews represent near-term focal points.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,738,243
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

结算方

0x65070BE91...

相关

icon for 约翰·拉特克利夫会在12月31日前卸任中情局局长吗？

约翰·拉特克利夫会在12月31日前卸任中情局局长吗？

13%
是
icon for 彼得·赫格塞斯将在10月31日前被免去国防部长职务吗？

彼得·赫格塞斯将在10月31日前被免去国防部长职务吗？

7%
是
icon for Pete Hegseth会在9月30日前被免去国防部长职务吗？

Pete Hegseth会在9月30日前被免去国防部长职务吗？

3%
是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Kash Patel在... ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日"，概率为 21%，其次是"September 30"，概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 21¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 21%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Kash Patel在... ？"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量（自Feb 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Kash Patel在... ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Kash Patel在... ？"的当前领先者是"12月31日"，概率为 21%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 21%。紧随其后的结果是"September 30"，概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Kash Patel在... ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。