**Powell's decision to remain a Federal Reserve governor after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended has anchored trader sentiment around his board tenure, which runs through January 2028.** He cited legal and political pressures from the Trump administration as reasons for staying, becoming the first ex-chair to do so since 1948 and limiting opportunities for a new appointee. Kevin Warsh's confirmation as chair shifted policy focus, yet Powell's presence on the seven-member board sustains debate over independence and potential removal attempts, which require statutory "for cause" justification. The August 2026 off-market sale of his $7.2 million Maryland waterfront property signals personal transition but does not alter his formal term. Key near-term catalysts include FOMC meetings under Warsh, any administration filings, and court outcomes on related independence challenges, with market-implied probabilities reflecting these structural and political constraints rather than imminent exit.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$446,277 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
16%
$446,277 交易量
12月31日
$159,686 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Powell's decision to remain a Federal Reserve governor after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended has anchored trader sentiment around his board tenure, which runs through January 2028.** He cited legal and political pressures from the Trump administration as reasons for staying, becoming the first ex-chair to do so since 1948 and limiting opportunities for a new appointee. Kevin Warsh's confirmation as chair shifted policy focus, yet Powell's presence on the seven-member board sustains debate over independence and potential removal attempts, which require statutory "for cause" justification. The August 2026 off-market sale of his $7.2 million Maryland waterfront property signals personal transition but does not alter his formal term. Key near-term catalysts include FOMC meetings under Warsh, any administration filings, and court outcomes on related independence challenges, with market-implied probabilities reflecting these structural and political constraints rather than imminent exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$446,277结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Powell's decision to remain a Federal Reserve governor after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended has anchored trader sentiment around his board tenure, which runs through January 2028.** He cited legal and political pressures from the Trump administration as reasons for staying, becoming the first ex-chair to do so since 1948 and limiting opportunities for a new appointee. Kevin Warsh's confirmation as chair shifted policy focus, yet Powell's presence on the seven-member board sustains debate over independence and potential removal attempts, which require statutory "for cause" justification. The August 2026 off-market sale of his $7.2 million Maryland waterfront property signals personal transition but does not alter his formal term. Key near-term catalysts include FOMC meetings under Warsh, any administration filings, and court outcomes on related independence challenges, with market-implied probabilities reflecting these structural and political constraints rather than imminent exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$446,277结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET**Powell's decision to remain a Federal Reserve governor after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended has anchored trader sentiment around his board tenure, which runs through January 2028.** He cited legal and political pressures from the Trump administration as reasons for staying, becoming the first ex-chair to do so since 1948 and limiting opportunities for a new appointee. Kevin Warsh's confirmation as chair shifted policy focus, yet Powell's presence on the seven-member board sustains debate over independence and potential removal attempts, which require statutory "for cause" justification. The August 2026 off-market sale of his $7.2 million Maryland waterfront property signals personal transition but does not alter his formal term. Key near-term catalysts include FOMC meetings under Warsh, any administration filings, and court outcomes on related independence challenges, with market-implied probabilities reflecting these structural and political constraints rather than imminent exit.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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