Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's structural Democratic advantage, his strong fundraising edge exceeding $90 million in self-funded support, and consistent polling margins around 20 points. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in March with 53 percent of the primary vote but trails significantly in general election surveys and faces challenges from low downstate turnout enthusiasm alongside Democratic dominance in the Chicago area. Recent campaign activity, including Pritzker's statewide bus tour and criticism tying Bailey to national Republican figures, has reinforced the gap ahead of early voting on September 24. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic shift could still alter trajectories before November 3, though historical patterns and current consensus favor the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,266 交易量
$11,266 交易量
2026-11-02
JB 普里茨克（民主党）
96%
达伦·贝利（共和党）
3%
$11,266 交易量
$11,266 交易量
2026-11-02
JB 普里茨克（民主党）
$5,184 交易量
96%
达伦·贝利（共和党）
$6,082 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's structural Democratic advantage, his strong fundraising edge exceeding $90 million in self-funded support, and consistent polling margins around 20 points. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in March with 53 percent of the primary vote but trails significantly in general election surveys and faces challenges from low downstate turnout enthusiasm alongside Democratic dominance in the Chicago area. Recent campaign activity, including Pritzker's statewide bus tour and criticism tying Bailey to national Republican figures, has reinforced the gap ahead of early voting on September 24. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic shift could still alter trajectories before November 3, though historical patterns and current consensus favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$11,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's structural Democratic advantage, his strong fundraising edge exceeding $90 million in self-funded support, and consistent polling margins around 20 points. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in March with 53 percent of the primary vote but trails significantly in general election surveys and faces challenges from low downstate turnout enthusiasm alongside Democratic dominance in the Chicago area. Recent campaign activity, including Pritzker's statewide bus tour and criticism tying Bailey to national Republican figures, has reinforced the gap ahead of early voting on September 24. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic shift could still alter trajectories before November 3, though historical patterns and current consensus favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's structural Democratic advantage, his strong fundraising edge exceeding $90 million in self-funded support, and consistent polling margins around 20 points. Bailey secured the Republican nomination in March with 53 percent of the primary vote but trails significantly in general election surveys and faces challenges from low downstate turnout enthusiasm alongside Democratic dominance in the Chicago area. Recent campaign activity, including Pritzker's statewide bus tour and criticism tying Bailey to national Republican figures, has reinforced the gap ahead of early voting on September 24. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic shift could still alter trajectories before November 3, though historical patterns and current consensus favor the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题