Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational data indicate a post-frontal high of 74–76°F for New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air following overnight showers on the 13th. Surface high pressure building from the north and clear to partly cloudy skies support modest daytime warming, with forecast soundings showing limited moisture return and dew points falling into the 50s. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight split between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, while historical September climatology places the expected maximum near 75°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日纽约市最高气温？
9月14日纽约市最高气温？
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
最新
$24,724 交易量
最新
$24,724 交易量
2026-09-14
65华氏度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
最新
$24,724 交易量
最新
$24,724 交易量
2026-09-14
65华氏度或以下
$246 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$228 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$418 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$651 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$1,977 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$6,917 交易量
49%
76-77°F
$5,672 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$5,880 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$914 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$1,582 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational data indicate a post-frontal high of 74–76°F for New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air following overnight showers on the 13th. Surface high pressure building from the north and clear to partly cloudy skies support modest daytime warming, with forecast soundings showing limited moisture return and dew points falling into the 50s. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight split between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, while historical September climatology places the expected maximum near 75°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$24,724结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational data indicate a post-frontal high of 74–76°F for New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air following overnight showers on the 13th. Surface high pressure building from the north and clear to partly cloudy skies support modest daytime warming, with forecast soundings showing limited moisture return and dew points falling into the 50s. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight split between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, while historical September climatology places the expected maximum near 75°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,724结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service model consensus and observational data indicate a post-frontal high of 74–76°F for New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air following overnight showers on the 13th. Surface high pressure building from the north and clear to partly cloudy skies support modest daytime warming, with forecast soundings showing limited moisture return and dew points falling into the 50s. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight split between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins, while historical September climatology places the expected maximum near 75°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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