**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 11, 2026, at a 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning reflects India Meteorological Department observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near this threshold amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers associated with the active monsoon. Recent rainfall totals well above average have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with current surface conditions and dew points in the upper 20s °C. Official resolution depends on the verified maximum at the primary Lucknow station, typically reported by evening. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized heat buildup could push readings higher, though current radar and model runs indicate low likelihood of such a shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日勒克瑙气温最高?
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,508 交易量
$21,508 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,508 交易量
$21,508 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 11, 2026, at a 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning reflects India Meteorological Department observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near this threshold amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers associated with the active monsoon. Recent rainfall totals well above average have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with current surface conditions and dew points in the upper 20s °C. Official resolution depends on the verified maximum at the primary Lucknow station, typically reported by evening. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized heat buildup could push readings higher, though current radar and model runs indicate low likelihood of such a shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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