**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 100-101°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs near 100°F, and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph.** Persistent late-summer heat under high pressure, combined with elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, supports heat index values near 109°F while limiting convective cooling or significant cloud cover. Real-time observations at midday showed temperatures climbing through the mid-90s toward the century mark, consistent with the 44th triple-digit day of the year and model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical context shows the September 13 record at 102°F (2011), yet current steering patterns and lack of frontal activity keep the probability of exceeding 101°F or falling below 98°F low. Traders appear to weight the official forecast and ongoing heat advisory heavily, with minimal implied odds for outliers pending final evening observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月13日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 57%
98-99华氏度 34%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 2%
$10,414 交易量
$10,414 交易量
2026-09-13
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99华氏度
34%
100-101°F
57%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 57%
98-99华氏度 34%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 2%
$10,414 交易量
$10,414 交易量
2026-09-13
89°F或以下
$337 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$217 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$351 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$397 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,879 交易量
2%
98-99华氏度
$1,952 交易量
34%
100-101°F
$3,280 交易量
57%
102-103°F
$1,460 交易量
6%
104-105°F
$108 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$194 交易量
1%
108°F或更高
$240 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 100-101°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs near 100°F, and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph.** Persistent late-summer heat under high pressure, combined with elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, supports heat index values near 109°F while limiting convective cooling or significant cloud cover. Real-time observations at midday showed temperatures climbing through the mid-90s toward the century mark, consistent with the 44th triple-digit day of the year and model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical context shows the September 13 record at 102°F (2011), yet current steering patterns and lack of frontal activity keep the probability of exceeding 101°F or falling below 98°F low. Traders appear to weight the official forecast and ongoing heat advisory heavily, with minimal implied odds for outliers pending final evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,414结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 100-101°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs near 100°F, and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph.** Persistent late-summer heat under high pressure, combined with elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, supports heat index values near 109°F while limiting convective cooling or significant cloud cover. Real-time observations at midday showed temperatures climbing through the mid-90s toward the century mark, consistent with the 44th triple-digit day of the year and model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical context shows the September 13 record at 102°F (2011), yet current steering patterns and lack of frontal activity keep the probability of exceeding 101°F or falling below 98°F low. Traders appear to weight the official forecast and ongoing heat advisory heavily, with minimal implied odds for outliers pending final evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,414结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 100-101°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs near 100°F, and south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph.** Persistent late-summer heat under high pressure, combined with elevated dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, supports heat index values near 109°F while limiting convective cooling or significant cloud cover. Real-time observations at midday showed temperatures climbing through the mid-90s toward the century mark, consistent with the 44th triple-digit day of the year and model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical context shows the September 13 record at 102°F (2011), yet current steering patterns and lack of frontal activity keep the probability of exceeding 101°F or falling below 98°F low. Traders appear to weight the official forecast and ongoing heat advisory heavily, with minimal implied odds for outliers pending final evening observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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