**Weak presales and mixed early reactions following the London premiere have driven trader consensus toward a sub-$17 million domestic opening for Digger.** The Tom Cruise–Alejandro G. Iñárritu satirical black comedy, budgeted at $125 million, saw initial NRG tracking in the $19–20 million range and Box Office Theory estimates of $20–29 million. However, first-day ticket sales have lagged comparables, with reports of 34–35% shortfalls versus recent titles, prompting revised projections as low as $10–12 million. Mixed social-media buzz from the September 22 premiere and audience uncertainty around the tone and Cruise’s prosthetics-heavy role have further tempered momentum ahead of the October 2 wide release in IMAX and premium formats. Reviews are expected shortly and will serve as the next key signal.