Several 2026 gubernatorial contests feature open seats or narrow polling averages that position them for the smallest victory margins on November 3. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting general election, following an August top-four primary, creates multiple viable paths to a final-round plurality under 5 points. Ohio’s open race pits Republican Vivek Ramaswamy against Democrat Amy Acton in a contest Cook Political Report rates a toss-up after recent surveys showed statistical ties. Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo faces Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in another Cook toss-up, while Georgia’s open Republican-held seat and Iowa’s open contest similarly draw trader attention due to historical closeness and shifting local dynamics. These factors, rather than national trends alone, underpin the current market distribution among the top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Alaska 12.8%
俄亥俄州 12.6%
佛罗里达 11.6%
Nevada 11%
$19,682 交易量
$19,682 交易量
2026-11-03
Alaska
13%
俄亥俄州
13%
佛罗里达
12%
Nevada
11%
Georgia
10%
Iowa
6%
Kansas
5%
Texas
5%
Oregon
5%
Wisconsin
4%
密歇根州
4%
科罗拉多州
3%
Vermont
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Arizona
2%
Minnesota
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
<1%
Alaska 12.8%
俄亥俄州 12.6%
佛罗里达 11.6%
Nevada 11%
$19,682 交易量
$19,682 交易量
2026-11-03
Alaska
$284 交易量
13%
俄亥俄州
$886 交易量
13%
佛罗里达
$996 交易量
12%
Nevada
$3,902 交易量
11%
Georgia
$1,055 交易量
10%
Iowa
$1,875 交易量
6%
Kansas
$3,304 交易量
5%
Texas
$2,660 交易量
5%
Oregon
$346 交易量
5%
Wisconsin
$1,572 交易量
4%
密歇根州
$379 交易量
4%
科罗拉多州
$283 交易量
3%
Vermont
$201 交易量
3%
New Hampshire
$549 交易量
3%
Arizona
$307 交易量
2%
Minnesota
$364 交易量
2%
New Mexico
$343 交易量
1%
Maine
$375 交易量
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests feature open seats or narrow polling averages that position them for the smallest victory margins on November 3. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting general election, following an August top-four primary, creates multiple viable paths to a final-round plurality under 5 points. Ohio’s open race pits Republican Vivek Ramaswamy against Democrat Amy Acton in a contest Cook Political Report rates a toss-up after recent surveys showed statistical ties. Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo faces Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in another Cook toss-up, while Georgia’s open Republican-held seat and Iowa’s open contest similarly draw trader attention due to historical closeness and shifting local dynamics. These factors, rather than national trends alone, underpin the current market distribution among the top outcomes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$19,682结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests feature open seats or narrow polling averages that position them for the smallest victory margins on November 3. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting general election, following an August top-four primary, creates multiple viable paths to a final-round plurality under 5 points. Ohio’s open race pits Republican Vivek Ramaswamy against Democrat Amy Acton in a contest Cook Political Report rates a toss-up after recent surveys showed statistical ties. Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo faces Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in another Cook toss-up, while Georgia’s open Republican-held seat and Iowa’s open contest similarly draw trader attention due to historical closeness and shifting local dynamics. These factors, rather than national trends alone, underpin the current market distribution among the top outcomes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,682结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETSeveral 2026 gubernatorial contests feature open seats or narrow polling averages that position them for the smallest victory margins on November 3. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting general election, following an August top-four primary, creates multiple viable paths to a final-round plurality under 5 points. Ohio’s open race pits Republican Vivek Ramaswamy against Democrat Amy Acton in a contest Cook Political Report rates a toss-up after recent surveys showed statistical ties. Nevada’s incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo faces Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in another Cook toss-up, while Georgia’s open Republican-held seat and Iowa’s open contest similarly draw trader attention due to historical closeness and shifting local dynamics. These factors, rather than national trends alone, underpin the current market distribution among the top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题