Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,535 amid a managed band regime with inflation-linked crawl, reflects trader focus on the Milei administration’s strong-peso strategy to sustain disinflation. Monthly CPI has eased to around 1.7–2.2 percent, supporting annual inflation near 33 percent, while fiscal surpluses and BCRA dollar purchases bolster reserves and limit depreciation pressure. Recent growth concerns from real appreciation and softer 2026 GDP forecasts around 2–3.5 percent have not altered the policy bias, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 1,600+ by December amid gradual band adjustments and consensus projections in the low-to-mid 1,600s. Key near-term catalysts include October–December inflation releases and any BCRA tweaks to the intervention band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1600.00以上 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1400.00–1449.99 4.4%
$11,028 交易量
$11,028 交易量
2026-12-30
小于1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
2%
1300.00–1349.99
3%
1350.00–1399.99
3%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
10%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00以上
73%
1600.00以上 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1400.00–1449.99 4.4%
$11,028 交易量
$11,028 交易量
2026-12-30
小于1250.00
$608 交易量
3%
1250.00–1299.99
$1,024 交易量
2%
1300.00–1349.99
$893 交易量
3%
1350.00–1399.99
$978 交易量
3%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,316 交易量
4%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,546 交易量
4%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,417 交易量
10%
1550.00–1599.99
$825 交易量
14%
1600.00以上
$2,421 交易量
73%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,535 amid a managed band regime with inflation-linked crawl, reflects trader focus on the Milei administration’s strong-peso strategy to sustain disinflation. Monthly CPI has eased to around 1.7–2.2 percent, supporting annual inflation near 33 percent, while fiscal surpluses and BCRA dollar purchases bolster reserves and limit depreciation pressure. Recent growth concerns from real appreciation and softer 2026 GDP forecasts around 2–3.5 percent have not altered the policy bias, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 1,600+ by December amid gradual band adjustments and consensus projections in the low-to-mid 1,600s. Key near-term catalysts include October–December inflation releases and any BCRA tweaks to the intervention band.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
交易量
$11,028结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETThis is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,535 amid a managed band regime with inflation-linked crawl, reflects trader focus on the Milei administration’s strong-peso strategy to sustain disinflation. Monthly CPI has eased to around 1.7–2.2 percent, supporting annual inflation near 33 percent, while fiscal surpluses and BCRA dollar purchases bolster reserves and limit depreciation pressure. Recent growth concerns from real appreciation and softer 2026 GDP forecasts around 2–3.5 percent have not altered the policy bias, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 1,600+ by December amid gradual band adjustments and consensus projections in the low-to-mid 1,600s. Key near-term catalysts include October–December inflation releases and any BCRA tweaks to the intervention band.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$11,028结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETArgentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,535 amid a managed band regime with inflation-linked crawl, reflects trader focus on the Milei administration’s strong-peso strategy to sustain disinflation. Monthly CPI has eased to around 1.7–2.2 percent, supporting annual inflation near 33 percent, while fiscal surpluses and BCRA dollar purchases bolster reserves and limit depreciation pressure. Recent growth concerns from real appreciation and softer 2026 GDP forecasts around 2–3.5 percent have not altered the policy bias, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 1,600+ by December amid gradual band adjustments and consensus projections in the low-to-mid 1,600s. Key near-term catalysts include October–December inflation releases and any BCRA tweaks to the intervention band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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