Recent polling from Pew Research and others shows Democratic candidates holding modest edges or near parity among voters 50 and older overall, with larger advantages among women in this age group amid a widening gender gap. Concerns over Medicare, Social Security, prescription costs, and economic security have featured prominently in AARP surveys of older women, a high-turnout bloc whose preferences have shifted toward Democrats in several 2026 battleground samples. Broader generic ballot data indicate women overall favor Democratic House candidates by double digits, a pattern extending into senior cohorts despite traditional Republican strength among older voters. These developments underpin the current trader consensus on the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主黨
85%
共和黨
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主黨
$403 交易量
85%
共和黨
$184 交易量
14%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling from Pew Research and others shows Democratic candidates holding modest edges or near parity among voters 50 and older overall, with larger advantages among women in this age group amid a widening gender gap. Concerns over Medicare, Social Security, prescription costs, and economic security have featured prominently in AARP surveys of older women, a high-turnout bloc whose preferences have shifted toward Democrats in several 2026 battleground samples. Broader generic ballot data indicate women overall favor Democratic House candidates by double digits, a pattern extending into senior cohorts despite traditional Republican strength among older voters. These developments underpin the current trader consensus on the outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$587結束日期
2026-11-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling from Pew Research and others shows Democratic candidates holding modest edges or near parity among voters 50 and older overall, with larger advantages among women in this age group amid a widening gender gap. Concerns over Medicare, Social Security, prescription costs, and economic security have featured prominently in AARP surveys of older women, a high-turnout bloc whose preferences have shifted toward Democrats in several 2026 battleground samples. Broader generic ballot data indicate women overall favor Democratic House candidates by double digits, a pattern extending into senior cohorts despite traditional Republican strength among older voters. These developments underpin the current trader consensus on the outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$587結束日期
2026-11-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRecent polling from Pew Research and others shows Democratic candidates holding modest edges or near parity among voters 50 and older overall, with larger advantages among women in this age group amid a widening gender gap. Concerns over Medicare, Social Security, prescription costs, and economic security have featured prominently in AARP surveys of older women, a high-turnout bloc whose preferences have shifted toward Democrats in several 2026 battleground samples. Broader generic ballot data indicate women overall favor Democratic House candidates by double digits, a pattern extending into senior cohorts despite traditional Republican strength among older voters. These developments underpin the current trader consensus on the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions