Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates in the latest quarter led by technology and AI-related spending, remain the dominant driver supporting trader sentiment for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed at 7,636 on September 9 amid a recent pullback tied to rising Treasury yields, elevated oil prices near $97, and persistent inflation pressures, yet it sits up roughly 12% year-to-date. Wall Street strategists have lifted targets, with Barclays at 7,950 and HSBC, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup at or above 8,000, reflecting resilient labor data including August’s 162,000 payroll gain and 4.1% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% at its September 15-16 meeting, though markets price in rising odds of a hike amid sticky CPI readings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and upcoming earnings revisions that could further shape implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$341,390 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
27%
↓ 6,200美元
10%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5,800美元
9%
↓ 5,200
6%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$341,390 交易量
↑ $10,000
$203 交易量
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,564 交易量
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 交易量
5%
↑ 8,600美元
$30,614 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,827 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 交易量
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$5 交易量
52%
↓ $7,000
$343 交易量
27%
↓ 6,200美元
$53,694 交易量
10%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 交易量
11%
↓ 5,800美元
$41,870 交易量
9%
↓ 5,200
$57,241 交易量
6%
↓ 4,500美元
$60,371 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates in the latest quarter led by technology and AI-related spending, remain the dominant driver supporting trader sentiment for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed at 7,636 on September 9 amid a recent pullback tied to rising Treasury yields, elevated oil prices near $97, and persistent inflation pressures, yet it sits up roughly 12% year-to-date. Wall Street strategists have lifted targets, with Barclays at 7,950 and HSBC, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup at or above 8,000, reflecting resilient labor data including August’s 162,000 payroll gain and 4.1% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% at its September 15-16 meeting, though markets price in rising odds of a hike amid sticky CPI readings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and upcoming earnings revisions that could further shape implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$341,390結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates in the latest quarter led by technology and AI-related spending, remain the dominant driver supporting trader sentiment for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed at 7,636 on September 9 amid a recent pullback tied to rising Treasury yields, elevated oil prices near $97, and persistent inflation pressures, yet it sits up roughly 12% year-to-date. Wall Street strategists have lifted targets, with Barclays at 7,950 and HSBC, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup at or above 8,000, reflecting resilient labor data including August’s 162,000 payroll gain and 4.1% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% at its September 15-16 meeting, though markets price in rising odds of a hike amid sticky CPI readings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and upcoming earnings revisions that could further shape implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$341,390結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETStrong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates in the latest quarter led by technology and AI-related spending, remain the dominant driver supporting trader sentiment for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed at 7,636 on September 9 amid a recent pullback tied to rising Treasury yields, elevated oil prices near $97, and persistent inflation pressures, yet it sits up roughly 12% year-to-date. Wall Street strategists have lifted targets, with Barclays at 7,950 and HSBC, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup at or above 8,000, reflecting resilient labor data including August’s 162,000 payroll gain and 4.1% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75% at its September 15-16 meeting, though markets price in rising odds of a hike amid sticky CPI readings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and upcoming earnings revisions that could further shape implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions