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icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

$112,347 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$112,347 交易量

Polymarket

December 31

$85 交易量

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's PNL-USR-UDMR coalition, centers on repeated failures to secure a new government with the required 233 parliamentary votes. After two unsuccessful prime ministerial designations earlier in the year, President Nicușor Dan nominated Siegfried Mureșan in mid-September 2026; he has ten days to present a cabinet for a confidence vote. Under the constitution, dissolution of parliament becomes possible after two rejections within the 60-day window, though the decision rests with the president and is not automatic. Far-right AUR has pressed for snap elections, which analysts note would likely benefit it given polling leads, while centrist parties weigh coalitions amid economic risks including budget deficits and upcoming credit rating reviews. The next confidence vote outcome will determine whether deadlock persists or early elections are triggered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$112,347
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's PNL-USR-UDMR coalition, centers on repeated failures to secure a new government with the required 233 parliamentary votes. After two unsuccessful prime ministerial designations earlier in the year, President Nicușor Dan nominated Siegfried Mureșan in mid-September 2026; he has ten days to present a cabinet for a confidence vote. Under the constitution, dissolution of parliament becomes possible after two rejections within the 60-day window, though the decision rests with the president and is not automatic. Far-right AUR has pressed for snap elections, which analysts note would likely benefit it given polling leads, while centrist parties weigh coalitions amid economic risks including budget deficits and upcoming credit rating reviews. The next confidence vote outcome will determine whether deadlock persists or early elections are triggered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$112,347
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 27%, followed by "7月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" has generated $112.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" is "December 31" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.