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icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

$112,347 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$112,347 交易量

Polymarket

December 31

$85 交易量

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament faces dissolution risk amid a protracted crisis that began with the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote ousting Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's PNL-USR-UDMR coalition government. PSD and AUR backed the motion with 281 votes, leaving the country without a fully empowered cabinet for over four months. President Nicușor Dan's prior nominees—Eugen Tomac, who withdrew, and Adrian Veștea, rejected by parliament in June—triggered the constitutional threshold allowing dissolution after two failed investiture attempts within 60 days. Siegfried Mureșan, nominated September 17, now has ten days to assemble a cabinet and secure the 233-vote majority; the centre-right bloc lacks sufficient seats without broader support, while PSD and AUR push alternatives or early elections. Upcoming factors include Mureșan's confidence vote, S&P's October 2 ratings review, and parties' calculations ahead of the 2028 scheduled vote, with no snap polls held since 1989.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$112,347
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament faces dissolution risk amid a protracted crisis that began with the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote ousting Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's PNL-USR-UDMR coalition government. PSD and AUR backed the motion with 281 votes, leaving the country without a fully empowered cabinet for over four months. President Nicușor Dan's prior nominees—Eugen Tomac, who withdrew, and Adrian Veștea, rejected by parliament in June—triggered the constitutional threshold allowing dissolution after two failed investiture attempts within 60 days. Siegfried Mureșan, nominated September 17, now has ten days to assemble a cabinet and secure the 233-vote majority; the centre-right bloc lacks sufficient seats without broader support, while PSD and AUR push alternatives or early elections. Upcoming factors include Mureșan's confidence vote, S&P's October 2 ratings review, and parties' calculations ahead of the 2028 scheduled vote, with no snap polls held since 1989.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$112,347
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 27%, followed by "7月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" has generated $112.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" is "December 31" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.