Jack Lowden leads the market-implied odds at 42.4% following public comments from his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman suggesting the role has been cast, with Lowden on the shortlist. Traders appear to weigh his recent surge in bookie odds and endorsements from industry figures, including his director Adam Randall, against his proven range in spy drama and action projects like Dunkirk. Callum Turner and Jack Barton trail as secondary contenders amid ongoing auditions, while the 21.1% probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects the lack of an official announcement ahead of a potential reveal by year-end. High uncertainty persists given the secretive nature of studio decisions and historical shifts in frontrunner status.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
傑克·勞登 42.4%
尚未選出龐德 21.1%
卡倫·特納 20.6%
傑克·巴頓 7.3%
$973,333 交易量
$973,333 交易量

傑克·勞登
42%

尚未選出龐德
21%

卡倫·特納
21%

傑克·巴頓
7%

傑克·奧康奈爾
4%

哈里斯·迪金森
3%

理查·麥登
3%

Theo James
2%

Tom Francis
2%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
1%

喬許·奧康納
1%

亨利·卡維爾
1%

雅各布·艾洛迪
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

強納森·貝利
<1%

湯姆·布萊斯
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%

提摩西·夏勒梅
<1%

尼可拉斯·加利齊納
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

麥可·B·喬丹
<1%
傑克·勞登 42.4%
尚未選出龐德 21.1%
卡倫·特納 20.6%
傑克·巴頓 7.3%
$973,333 交易量
$973,333 交易量

傑克·勞登
42%

尚未選出龐德
21%

卡倫·特納
21%

傑克·巴頓
7%

傑克·奧康奈爾
4%

哈里斯·迪金森
3%

理查·麥登
3%

Theo James
2%

Tom Francis
2%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
1%

喬許·奧康納
1%

亨利·卡維爾
1%

雅各布·艾洛迪
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

強納森·貝利
<1%

湯姆·布萊斯
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%

提摩西·夏勒梅
<1%

尼可拉斯·加利齊納
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

麥可·B·喬丹
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jack Lowden leads the market-implied odds at 42.4% following public comments from his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman suggesting the role has been cast, with Lowden on the shortlist. Traders appear to weigh his recent surge in bookie odds and endorsements from industry figures, including his director Adam Randall, against his proven range in spy drama and action projects like Dunkirk. Callum Turner and Jack Barton trail as secondary contenders amid ongoing auditions, while the 21.1% probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects the lack of an official announcement ahead of a potential reveal by year-end. High uncertainty persists given the secretive nature of studio decisions and historical shifts in frontrunner status.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions