Microsoft shares traded near $500 on September 23, 2026, with the $500–$510 weekly close range holding the highest implied probability at 34 percent amid a tight contest with the $490–$500 band at 26.5 percent. Recent Stifel and Oppenheimer upgrades, alongside consensus price targets near $576, reflect accelerating Azure revenue growth exceeding 43 percent year-over-year and sustained commercial backlog expansion to $678 billion. Heavy capital expenditure guidance around $175 billion for calendar 2026 continues to pressure free-cash-flow perceptions, yet improving monetization of AI infrastructure and a $10 billion Middle East investment commitment have supported recent momentum. With next-quarter results due October 28, traders are weighing near-term execution against longer-term AI scaling dynamics in a market reflecting balanced short-term uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於490-500美元 34%
500-510美元 34%
$510-$520 18%
$480-$490 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
低於 450 美元
10%
$450-$460
10%
$460-$470
10%
$470-$480
6%
$480-$490
16%
490-500美元
34%
500-510美元
34%
$510-$520
18%
520-530美元
6%
$530-$540
10%
高於540美元
10%
490-500美元 34%
500-510美元 34%
$510-$520 18%
$480-$490 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
低於 450 美元
$5 交易量
10%
$450-$460
$5 交易量
10%
$460-$470
$5 交易量
10%
$470-$480
$0 交易量
6%
$480-$490
$0 交易量
16%
490-500美元
$0 交易量
34%
500-510美元
$0 交易量
34%
$510-$520
$0 交易量
18%
520-530美元
$0 交易量
6%
$530-$540
$5 交易量
10%
高於540美元
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares traded near $500 on September 23, 2026, with the $500–$510 weekly close range holding the highest implied probability at 34 percent amid a tight contest with the $490–$500 band at 26.5 percent. Recent Stifel and Oppenheimer upgrades, alongside consensus price targets near $576, reflect accelerating Azure revenue growth exceeding 43 percent year-over-year and sustained commercial backlog expansion to $678 billion. Heavy capital expenditure guidance around $175 billion for calendar 2026 continues to pressure free-cash-flow perceptions, yet improving monetization of AI infrastructure and a $10 billion Middle East investment commitment have supported recent momentum. With next-quarter results due October 28, traders are weighing near-term execution against longer-term AI scaling dynamics in a market reflecting balanced short-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares traded near $500 on September 23, 2026, with the $500–$510 weekly close range holding the highest implied probability at 34 percent amid a tight contest with the $490–$500 band at 26.5 percent. Recent Stifel and Oppenheimer upgrades, alongside consensus price targets near $576, reflect accelerating Azure revenue growth exceeding 43 percent year-over-year and sustained commercial backlog expansion to $678 billion. Heavy capital expenditure guidance around $175 billion for calendar 2026 continues to pressure free-cash-flow perceptions, yet improving monetization of AI infrastructure and a $10 billion Middle East investment commitment have supported recent momentum. With next-quarter results due October 28, traders are weighing near-term execution against longer-term AI scaling dynamics in a market reflecting balanced short-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicrosoft shares traded near $500 on September 23, 2026, with the $500–$510 weekly close range holding the highest implied probability at 34 percent amid a tight contest with the $490–$500 band at 26.5 percent. Recent Stifel and Oppenheimer upgrades, alongside consensus price targets near $576, reflect accelerating Azure revenue growth exceeding 43 percent year-over-year and sustained commercial backlog expansion to $678 billion. Heavy capital expenditure guidance around $175 billion for calendar 2026 continues to pressure free-cash-flow perceptions, yet improving monetization of AI infrastructure and a $10 billion Middle East investment commitment have supported recent momentum. With next-quarter results due October 28, traders are weighing near-term execution against longer-term AI scaling dynamics in a market reflecting balanced short-term uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions