Several teams remain tightly bunched in the 2026 home run race heading into the final weeks, with the Chicago Cubs holding a narrow edge in trader consensus at 49.6% implied probability followed closely by the New York Yankees at 44%. The Cubs’ recent power surge, fueled by Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 44 homers and contributions from Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ, has kept them atop the leaderboard amid strong September output. The Yankees’ efficient lineup and high AB/HR rate sustain their position despite fewer total long balls in some stretches. Other contenders like the Phillies, Braves, and Astros sit within striking distance, with late-season form, park factors, and remaining schedule strength creating ongoing volatility that prevents any single club from pulling away decisively.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約洋基 45%
芝加哥小熊隊 44.6%
華盛頓國民隊 2.5%
辛辛那提紅人隊 2.1%
$605,603 交易量
$605,603 交易量
紐約洋基
45%
芝加哥小熊隊
45%
華盛頓國民隊
2%
辛辛那提紅人隊
2%
休士頓太空人
1%
波士頓紅襪隊
1%
德州遊騎兵隊
<1%
多倫多藍鳥隊
<1%
巴爾的摩金鶯隊
<1%
芝加哥白襪隊
<1%
科羅拉多洛磯隊
<1%
洛杉磯道奇隊
<1%
明尼蘇達雙城隊
<1%
紐約大都會
<1%
運動家隊
<1%
費城費城人隊
<1%
舊金山巨人隊
<1%
亞特蘭大勇士隊
<1%
匹茲堡海盜隊
<1%
聖路易紅雀
<1%
洛杉磯天使隊
<1%
底特律老虎隊
<1%
邁阿密馬林魚
<1%
亞利桑那響尾蛇隊
<1%
克里夫蘭守護者隊
<1%
堪薩斯市皇家隊
<1%
密爾瓦基釀酒人
<1%
聖地牙哥教士
<1%
西雅圖水手隊
<1%
坦帕灣光芒
<1%
紐約洋基 45%
芝加哥小熊隊 44.6%
華盛頓國民隊 2.5%
辛辛那提紅人隊 2.1%
$605,603 交易量
$605,603 交易量
紐約洋基
45%
芝加哥小熊隊
45%
華盛頓國民隊
2%
辛辛那提紅人隊
2%
休士頓太空人
1%
波士頓紅襪隊
1%
德州遊騎兵隊
<1%
多倫多藍鳥隊
<1%
巴爾的摩金鶯隊
<1%
芝加哥白襪隊
<1%
科羅拉多洛磯隊
<1%
洛杉磯道奇隊
<1%
明尼蘇達雙城隊
<1%
紐約大都會
<1%
運動家隊
<1%
費城費城人隊
<1%
舊金山巨人隊
<1%
亞特蘭大勇士隊
<1%
匹茲堡海盜隊
<1%
聖路易紅雀
<1%
洛杉磯天使隊
<1%
底特律老虎隊
<1%
邁阿密馬林魚
<1%
亞利桑那響尾蛇隊
<1%
克里夫蘭守護者隊
<1%
堪薩斯市皇家隊
<1%
密爾瓦基釀酒人
<1%
聖地牙哥教士
<1%
西雅圖水手隊
<1%
坦帕灣光芒
<1%
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Several teams remain tightly bunched in the 2026 home run race heading into the final weeks, with the Chicago Cubs holding a narrow edge in trader consensus at 49.6% implied probability followed closely by the New York Yankees at 44%. The Cubs’ recent power surge, fueled by Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 44 homers and contributions from Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ, has kept them atop the leaderboard amid strong September output. The Yankees’ efficient lineup and high AB/HR rate sustain their position despite fewer total long balls in some stretches. Other contenders like the Phillies, Braves, and Astros sit within striking distance, with late-season form, park factors, and remaining schedule strength creating ongoing volatility that prevents any single club from pulling away decisively.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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