Obafemi Hamzat, the APC candidate and current Lagos deputy governor, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the market due to his May 2026 primary victory with over 99% of delegate votes, followed by endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, President Bola Tinubu, and the Lagos APC leadership council. His campaign structure, including a September 2026 council co-chaired by former governors and featuring Musiliu Obanikoro as director-general, reinforces party unity and incumbency advantages ahead of the February 2027 poll. Other contenders, such as Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour of the ADC at 5.9% and lower-priced names including Sowore, Funso Doherty, and Laja Adeoye of the APM, reflect fragmented opposition and limited institutional backing in a state where APC dominance has historically shaped outcomes. Trader consensus prices these structural factors as decisive while leaving room for shifts from late opposition consolidation or turnout dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Obafemi Hamzat 84%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 5.9%
Sowore Robert 5.7%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline 4.3%
最新
最新
2027-10-31
Obafemi Hamzat
84%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
6%
Sowore Robert
6%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
4%
Naheem Balogun
4%
Adedeji Doherty
3%
Funso Doherty
3%
Laja Adeoye
2%
Femi Olaniyi
1%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
1%
Obafemi Hamzat 84%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 5.9%
Sowore Robert 5.7%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline 4.3%
最新
最新
2027-10-31
Obafemi Hamzat
$6,271 交易量
84%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
$326 交易量
6%
Sowore Robert
$234 交易量
6%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
$225 交易量
4%
Naheem Balogun
$225 交易量
4%
Adedeji Doherty
$225 交易量
3%
Funso Doherty
$225 交易量
3%
Laja Adeoye
$225 交易量
2%
Femi Olaniyi
$255 交易量
1%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
$247 交易量
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat, the APC candidate and current Lagos deputy governor, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the market due to his May 2026 primary victory with over 99% of delegate votes, followed by endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, President Bola Tinubu, and the Lagos APC leadership council. His campaign structure, including a September 2026 council co-chaired by former governors and featuring Musiliu Obanikoro as director-general, reinforces party unity and incumbency advantages ahead of the February 2027 poll. Other contenders, such as Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour of the ADC at 5.9% and lower-priced names including Sowore, Funso Doherty, and Laja Adeoye of the APM, reflect fragmented opposition and limited institutional backing in a state where APC dominance has historically shaped outcomes. Trader consensus prices these structural factors as decisive while leaving room for shifts from late opposition consolidation or turnout dynamics.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
交易量
$8,458結束日期
2027-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat, the APC candidate and current Lagos deputy governor, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the market due to his May 2026 primary victory with over 99% of delegate votes, followed by endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, President Bola Tinubu, and the Lagos APC leadership council. His campaign structure, including a September 2026 council co-chaired by former governors and featuring Musiliu Obanikoro as director-general, reinforces party unity and incumbency advantages ahead of the February 2027 poll. Other contenders, such as Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour of the ADC at 5.9% and lower-priced names including Sowore, Funso Doherty, and Laja Adeoye of the APM, reflect fragmented opposition and limited institutional backing in a state where APC dominance has historically shaped outcomes. Trader consensus prices these structural factors as decisive while leaving room for shifts from late opposition consolidation or turnout dynamics.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$8,458結束日期
2027-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETObafemi Hamzat, the APC candidate and current Lagos deputy governor, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the market due to his May 2026 primary victory with over 99% of delegate votes, followed by endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, President Bola Tinubu, and the Lagos APC leadership council. His campaign structure, including a September 2026 council co-chaired by former governors and featuring Musiliu Obanikoro as director-general, reinforces party unity and incumbency advantages ahead of the February 2027 poll. Other contenders, such as Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour of the ADC at 5.9% and lower-priced names including Sowore, Funso Doherty, and Laja Adeoye of the APM, reflect fragmented opposition and limited institutional backing in a state where APC dominance has historically shaped outcomes. Trader consensus prices these structural factors as decisive while leaving room for shifts from late opposition consolidation or turnout dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions