Skip to main content

如需在美國交易,請前往 polymarket.us

icon for LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

Michael Echols 8.2%

Misti Cordell 3.1%

Blake Miguez 2.6%

邁克爾·梅布魯爾 1.7%

Polymarket

$63,632 交易量

Michael Echols 8.2%

Misti Cordell 3.1%

Blake Miguez 2.6%

邁克爾·梅布魯爾 1.7%

Polymarket

$63,632 交易量

Michael Echols

$14,673 交易量

8%

Misti Cordell

$1,906 交易量

3%

Blake Miguez

$31,552 交易量

3%

邁克爾·梅布魯爾

$1,328 交易量

2%

薩繆爾·懷亞特

$6,114 交易量

2%

Rick Edmonds

$5,965 交易量

2%

奧斯汀·麥吉

$2,094 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open jungle primary on November 3 for Louisiana's 5th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid, features a fragmented Republican field where no candidate has consolidated support amid redrawn district lines and shifting candidate maps. Leading contenders differentiate through legislative records and geographic bases—such as state Rep. Michael Echols' Monroe-area experience and self-funded campaign resources versus Misti Cordell's higher education oversight role and recent Louisiana GOP endorsement—while others like Blake Miguez draw on prior Trump backing and state Senate tenure despite map uncertainties. Low implied probabilities across the board reflect this dispersion, with consolidation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among rural and suburban voters, or standout performances in the final weeks before the primary advances top vote-getters to a potential December runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$63,632
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open jungle primary on November 3 for Louisiana's 5th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid, features a fragmented Republican field where no candidate has consolidated support amid redrawn district lines and shifting candidate maps. Leading contenders differentiate through legislative records and geographic bases—such as state Rep. Michael Echols' Monroe-area experience and self-funded campaign resources versus Misti Cordell's higher education oversight role and recent Louisiana GOP endorsement—while others like Blake Miguez draw on prior Trump backing and state Senate tenure despite map uncertainties. Low implied probabilities across the board reflect this dispersion, with consolidation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among rural and suburban voters, or standout performances in the final weeks before the primary advances top vote-getters to a potential December runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$63,632
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Echols" at 8%, followed by "Misti Cordell" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $63.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Michael Echols" at just 8%, with "Misti Cordell" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.