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icon for 《GTA VI》由… ？

《GTA VI》由… ？

icon for 《GTA VI》由… ？

《GTA VI》由… ？

$134,560 交易量

2026-11-30
Polymarket

$134,560 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 9月30日

9月30日

$26,959 交易量

<1%

icon for 10 月 31 日

10 月 31 日

$73,167 交易量

1%

icon for 11月30日

11月30日

$34,435 交易量

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Take-Two Interactive has repeatedly reaffirmed Grand Theft Auto VI's November 19, 2026, release date across multiple earnings calls and shareholder updates, with CEO Strauss Zelnick citing strong internal progress and reiterating fiscal projections tied to the launch. Recent catalysts include the August 2026 Netflix extended look showcasing polished gameplay and the rollout of pre-orders, which generated substantial early revenue despite some unauthorized leaks. Rockstar's history of prioritizing polish has fueled past delays, yet no new postponements have surfaced, and marketing momentum continues building toward the PS5 and Xbox Series X/S debut. Traders are watching for any last-minute signals ahead of the two-month countdown, as the title's massive cultural anticipation and chart-topping expectations make an on-time launch the dominant market narrative.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
交易量
$134,560
結束日期
2026-12-01
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:21 AM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Take-Two Interactive has repeatedly reaffirmed Grand Theft Auto VI's November 19, 2026, release date across multiple earnings calls and shareholder updates, with CEO Strauss Zelnick citing strong internal progress and reiterating fiscal projections tied to the launch. Recent catalysts include the August 2026 Netflix extended look showcasing polished gameplay and the rollout of pre-orders, which generated substantial early revenue despite some unauthorized leaks. Rockstar's history of prioritizing polish has fueled past delays, yet no new postponements have surfaced, and marketing momentum continues building toward the PS5 and Xbox Series X/S debut. Traders are watching for any last-minute signals ahead of the two-month countdown, as the title's massive cultural anticipation and chart-topping expectations make an on-time launch the dominant market narrative.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
交易量
$134,560
結束日期
2026-12-01
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:21 AM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"《GTA VI》由… ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11月30日" at 94%, followed by "10 月 31 日" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "《GTA VI》由… ？" has generated $134.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "《GTA VI》由… ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "《GTA VI》由… ？" is "11月30日" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10 月 31 日" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "《GTA VI》由… ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.