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icon for Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?

Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?

icon for Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?

Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?

7% 機率
Polymarket
最新

7% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent federal and local investigations into Eric Swalwell have not produced charges by the late-September deadline.** Swalwell resigned from Congress and dropped his California gubernatorial bid in April 2026 after multiple women alleged sexual misconduct, including assault claims. Federal agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing his phone and laptop at San Francisco airport and searching his Washington home as part of a civil rights probe (potentially under 18 U.S.C. § 242) tied to the allegations; separate inquiries continue with the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No indictments or formal charges have been announced in the month since the warrants, and reporting through mid-September shows no public signs of imminent action such as grand jury activity or plea discussions. Complex sexual misconduct cases involving device forensics and witness interviews typically require extended review, making charges within the narrow remaining window unlikely and supporting the market's strong consensus against resolution by September 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$506
結束日期
2026-10-01
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent federal and local investigations into Eric Swalwell have not produced charges by the late-September deadline.** Swalwell resigned from Congress and dropped his California gubernatorial bid in April 2026 after multiple women alleged sexual misconduct, including assault claims. Federal agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing his phone and laptop at San Francisco airport and searching his Washington home as part of a civil rights probe (potentially under 18 U.S.C. § 242) tied to the allegations; separate inquiries continue with the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No indictments or formal charges have been announced in the month since the warrants, and reporting through mid-September shows no public signs of imminent action such as grand jury activity or plea discussions. Complex sexual misconduct cases involving device forensics and witness interviews typically require extended review, making charges within the narrow remaining window unlikely and supporting the market's strong consensus against resolution by September 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$506
結束日期
2026-10-01
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃里克·斯沃爾韋爾會在9月30日前被起訴嗎?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?" is "埃里克·斯沃爾韋爾會在9月30日前被起訴嗎?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Eric Swalwell在9月30日之前被指控?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.