**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：傑出喜劇系列
艾美獎2026 ：傑出喜劇系列
《寡婦灣》 80%
《Hacks》 19.4%
《小學風雲》 1.7%
《熊家餐館》 1.3%
$101,516 交易量
$101,516 交易量
2026-09-14
《寡婦灣》
80%
《Hacks》
19%
《小學風雲》
2%
《熊家餐館》
1%
《瑪戈的金錢煩惱》
1%
「Nobody Wants This」
1%
《只殺樓上的傢伙》
1%
《Shrinking》
1%
《寡婦灣》 80%
《Hacks》 19.4%
《小學風雲》 1.7%
《熊家餐館》 1.3%
$101,516 交易量
$101,516 交易量
2026-09-14
《寡婦灣》
$38,830 交易量
80%
《Hacks》
$19,956 交易量
19%
《小學風雲》
$6,625 交易量
2%
《熊家餐館》
$7,691 交易量
1%
《瑪戈的金錢煩惱》
$6,638 交易量
1%
「Nobody Wants This」
$8,448 交易量
1%
《只殺樓上的傢伙》
$6,091 交易量
1%
《Shrinking》
$7,237 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
交易量
$101,516結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$101,516結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions