Anthropic’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and October IPO window have anchored trader sentiment around an 86% implied probability for a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion dollars. Explosive annualized revenue growth past 47 billion dollars in May and toward 70 billion dollars by summer, combined with a 965 billion dollar Series H valuation and secondary marks near 1.31 trillion dollars, support expectations of a debut premium rivaling or exceeding SpaceX’s recent listing. Underwriters including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, plus investor targets near 2 trillion dollars, reinforce the consensus while leaving room for slippage from credit facility negotiations or broader market volatility ahead of mid-October marketing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.7%
1.2–1.5T 1.7%
$408,934 交易量
$408,934 交易量
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.7%
1.2–1.5T 1.7%
$408,934 交易量
$408,934 交易量
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Anthropic’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and October IPO window have anchored trader sentiment around an 86% implied probability for a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion dollars. Explosive annualized revenue growth past 47 billion dollars in May and toward 70 billion dollars by summer, combined with a 965 billion dollar Series H valuation and secondary marks near 1.31 trillion dollars, support expectations of a debut premium rivaling or exceeding SpaceX’s recent listing. Underwriters including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, plus investor targets near 2 trillion dollars, reinforce the consensus while leaving room for slippage from credit facility negotiations or broader market volatility ahead of mid-October marketing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions