Amazon’s 2026 cash capex guidance stands at approximately $220 billion after a $20 billion upward revision in late July, driven primarily by elevated memory-chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand that exceeds available capacity. Management has stated that even this level will leave AWS short of fulfilling contracted demand through 2026 and into 2027, with notable 2028 backlog already visible and a $496 billion overall order backlog more than doubling year-over-year. Year-to-date spending reached roughly $173 billion through June, following 2025 outlays of $128–132 billion, while trailing free-cash-flow turned negative amid the acceleration. AWS revenue growth accelerated to 37% in Q2, supporting the view that spending is largely demand-backed rather than speculative. Traders will focus on any Q3 update for potential further revisions and on memory-price trends as key variables for final 2026 results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,942 交易量
2027-04-29
1,700億美元
98%
1800億美元
96%
1900億美元
95%
2,000億美元
92%
2100億美元
89%
2,200億美元
64%
$22,942 交易量
1,700億美元
$1,359 交易量
98%
1800億美元
$6,180 交易量
96%
1900億美元
$5,844 交易量
95%
2,000億美元
$5,580 交易量
92%
2100億美元
$1,801 交易量
89%
2,200億美元
$2,177 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon’s 2026 cash capex guidance stands at approximately $220 billion after a $20 billion upward revision in late July, driven primarily by elevated memory-chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand that exceeds available capacity. Management has stated that even this level will leave AWS short of fulfilling contracted demand through 2026 and into 2027, with notable 2028 backlog already visible and a $496 billion overall order backlog more than doubling year-over-year. Year-to-date spending reached roughly $173 billion through June, following 2025 outlays of $128–132 billion, while trailing free-cash-flow turned negative amid the acceleration. AWS revenue growth accelerated to 37% in Q2, supporting the view that spending is largely demand-backed rather than speculative. Traders will focus on any Q3 update for potential further revisions and on memory-price trends as key variables for final 2026 results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
交易量
$22,942結束日期
2027-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon’s 2026 cash capex guidance stands at approximately $220 billion after a $20 billion upward revision in late July, driven primarily by elevated memory-chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand that exceeds available capacity. Management has stated that even this level will leave AWS short of fulfilling contracted demand through 2026 and into 2027, with notable 2028 backlog already visible and a $496 billion overall order backlog more than doubling year-over-year. Year-to-date spending reached roughly $173 billion through June, following 2025 outlays of $128–132 billion, while trailing free-cash-flow turned negative amid the acceleration. AWS revenue growth accelerated to 37% in Q2, supporting the view that spending is largely demand-backed rather than speculative. Traders will focus on any Q3 update for potential further revisions and on memory-price trends as key variables for final 2026 results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
交易量
$22,942結束日期
2027-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETAmazon’s 2026 cash capex guidance stands at approximately $220 billion after a $20 billion upward revision in late July, driven primarily by elevated memory-chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand that exceeds available capacity. Management has stated that even this level will leave AWS short of fulfilling contracted demand through 2026 and into 2027, with notable 2028 backlog already visible and a $496 billion overall order backlog more than doubling year-over-year. Year-to-date spending reached roughly $173 billion through June, following 2025 outlays of $128–132 billion, while trailing free-cash-flow turned negative amid the acceleration. AWS revenue growth accelerated to 37% in Q2, supporting the view that spending is largely demand-backed rather than speculative. Traders will focus on any Q3 update for potential further revisions and on memory-price trends as key variables for final 2026 results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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