The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez fundamentally shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics, establishing significant American influence over oil exports, sanctions policy, and governance without a sustained ground occupation. Subsequent months featured targeted sanctions relief for energy deals, a major oil supply agreement in August, and diplomatic re-engagement, while September reports noted renewed U.S. military preparations in the Caribbean alongside Venezuelan aircraft provocations and migrant-related threats. These elements, combined with ongoing counternarcotics strikes and regional alliances, shape trader assessments of escalation risks ahead of potential congressional actions or election cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiệu Mỹ có xâm lược Venezuela bằng cách...?
Liệu Mỹ có xâm lược Venezuela bằng cách...?
$14,196,881 KL.
Mar 30, 2026
31 tháng 12
3%
$14,196,881 KL.
31 tháng 12
$240,872 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez fundamentally shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics, establishing significant American influence over oil exports, sanctions policy, and governance without a sustained ground occupation. Subsequent months featured targeted sanctions relief for energy deals, a major oil supply agreement in August, and diplomatic re-engagement, while September reports noted renewed U.S. military preparations in the Caribbean alongside Venezuelan aircraft provocations and migrant-related threats. These elements, combined with ongoing counternarcotics strikes and regional alliances, shape trader assessments of escalation risks ahead of potential congressional actions or election cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,196,881Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez fundamentally shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics, establishing significant American influence over oil exports, sanctions policy, and governance without a sustained ground occupation. Subsequent months featured targeted sanctions relief for energy deals, a major oil supply agreement in August, and diplomatic re-engagement, while September reports noted renewed U.S. military preparations in the Caribbean alongside Venezuelan aircraft provocations and migrant-related threats. These elements, combined with ongoing counternarcotics strikes and regional alliances, shape trader assessments of escalation risks ahead of potential congressional actions or election cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Khối lượng
$14,196,881Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez fundamentally shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics, establishing significant American influence over oil exports, sanctions policy, and governance without a sustained ground occupation. Subsequent months featured targeted sanctions relief for energy deals, a major oil supply agreement in August, and diplomatic re-engagement, while September reports noted renewed U.S. military preparations in the Caribbean alongside Venezuelan aircraft provocations and migrant-related threats. These elements, combined with ongoing counternarcotics strikes and regional alliances, shape trader assessments of escalation risks ahead of potential congressional actions or election cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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