**Traders assign Ilhan Omar a 94.4% chance of avoiding deportation in 2026 because she is a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2000, and removal requires a successful DOJ denaturalization suit in federal court first under standards such as 8 U.S.C. § 1451 for material fraud or willful misrepresentation during the immigration process.** Recent statements from DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin on September 11–12, 2026, referenced an ongoing investigation into long-standing allegations of marriage-related immigration fraud and noted that proven lies on applications carry no statute of limitations. Omar has consistently denied the claims. No denaturalization complaint, immigration court filing, or removal order has been initiated, and such civil proceedings historically involve high evidentiary burdens, extended litigation, and procedural timelines that make completion before December 31, 2026, improbable. Market pricing reflects these institutional and legal realities over political rhetoric, consistent with the rarity of denaturalization actions against long-term citizens and the absence of any active enforcement steps to date.