Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 with 64.4% and faced no significant primary opposition in August 2026, while Democrat Andrew Beck emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district encompasses affluent Milwaukee suburbs including much of Waukesha and Washington counties, where structural advantages for Republican candidates have held steady. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting Fitzgerald, though both remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-05 House Election Winner
WI-05 House Election Winner
$59,331 KL.
$59,331 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Scott Fitzgerald (R)
96%
Andrew Beck (D)
4%
$59,331 KL.
$59,331 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Scott Fitzgerald (R)
$32,629 KL.
96%
Andrew Beck (D)
$26,702 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 with 64.4% and faced no significant primary opposition in August 2026, while Democrat Andrew Beck emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district encompasses affluent Milwaukee suburbs including much of Waukesha and Washington counties, where structural advantages for Republican candidates have held steady. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting Fitzgerald, though both remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,331Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 with 64.4% and faced no significant primary opposition in August 2026, while Democrat Andrew Beck emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district encompasses affluent Milwaukee suburbs including much of Waukesha and Washington counties, where structural advantages for Republican candidates have held steady. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting Fitzgerald, though both remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$59,331Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 with 64.4% and faced no significant primary opposition in August 2026, while Democrat Andrew Beck emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district encompasses affluent Milwaukee suburbs including much of Waukesha and Washington counties, where structural advantages for Republican candidates have held steady. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting Fitzgerald, though both remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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