Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on individuals facing active investigations, congressional scrutiny, or ongoing legal proceedings that could produce an arrest or qualifying detention by December 31, 2026. Leading outcomes include former officials such as John Brennan, linked to intelligence-related probes, and activist Mahmoud Khalil, subject to immigration enforcement and court actions following prior detention. Anthony Fauci drew attention after invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly during a July 2026 Senate hearing on COVID-19 origins. Broader factors include federal fraud crackdowns, potential contempt risks, and international cases involving figures like José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero or Benjamin Netanyahu amid corruption trials. With limited time remaining, scheduled hearings, enforcement operations, and court rulings represent the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$416,572 KL.
Anthony Fauci
10%
John Brennan
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
13%
Adam Schiff
4%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
16%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
4%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Lisa Cook
3%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
1%
$416,572 KL.
Anthony Fauci
$165,423 KL.
10%
John Brennan
$22,822 KL.
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,716 KL.
13%
Adam Schiff
$16,985 KL.
4%
Barack Obama
$29,427 KL.
2%
James Comey
$10,821 KL.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,375 KL.
16%
James Clapper
$8,391 KL.
12%
Letitia James
$3,637 KL.
4%
Hillary Clinton
$26,360 KL.
2%
Bill Clinton
$2,889 KL.
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 KL.
8%
Susan Rice
$304 KL.
9%
Candace Owens
$268 KL.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,425 KL.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,949 KL.
5%
John Kerry
$503 KL.
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 KL.
2%
Tom Homan
$41,416 KL.
5%
Kash Patel
$607 KL.
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,290 KL.
11%
Lisa Cook
$4,005 KL.
3%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 KL.
11%
Joe Biden
$7,565 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on individuals facing active investigations, congressional scrutiny, or ongoing legal proceedings that could produce an arrest or qualifying detention by December 31, 2026. Leading outcomes include former officials such as John Brennan, linked to intelligence-related probes, and activist Mahmoud Khalil, subject to immigration enforcement and court actions following prior detention. Anthony Fauci drew attention after invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly during a July 2026 Senate hearing on COVID-19 origins. Broader factors include federal fraud crackdowns, potential contempt risks, and international cases involving figures like José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero or Benjamin Netanyahu amid corruption trials. With limited time remaining, scheduled hearings, enforcement operations, and court rulings represent the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$416,572Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on individuals facing active investigations, congressional scrutiny, or ongoing legal proceedings that could produce an arrest or qualifying detention by December 31, 2026. Leading outcomes include former officials such as John Brennan, linked to intelligence-related probes, and activist Mahmoud Khalil, subject to immigration enforcement and court actions following prior detention. Anthony Fauci drew attention after invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly during a July 2026 Senate hearing on COVID-19 origins. Broader factors include federal fraud crackdowns, potential contempt risks, and international cases involving figures like José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero or Benjamin Netanyahu amid corruption trials. With limited time remaining, scheduled hearings, enforcement operations, and court rulings represent the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$416,572Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on individuals facing active investigations, congressional scrutiny, or ongoing legal proceedings that could produce an arrest or qualifying detention by December 31, 2026. Leading outcomes include former officials such as John Brennan, linked to intelligence-related probes, and activist Mahmoud Khalil, subject to immigration enforcement and court actions following prior detention. Anthony Fauci drew attention after invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly during a July 2026 Senate hearing on COVID-19 origins. Broader factors include federal fraud crackdowns, potential contempt risks, and international cases involving figures like José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero or Benjamin Netanyahu amid corruption trials. With limited time remaining, scheduled hearings, enforcement operations, and court rulings represent the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp