The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Dec 31, 2026
Grüne
90%
SPD
89%
Linke
50%
CDU
30%
FW
4%
FDP
4%
BSW
3%
AfD
2%
$6,750 KL.
Grüne
$242 KL.
90%
SPD
$249 KL.
89%
Linke
$2,227 KL.
50%
CDU
$1,602 KL.
30%
FW
$661 KL.
4%
FDP
$210 KL.
4%
BSW
$290 KL.
3%
AfD
$1,269 KL.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,750Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Khối lượng
$6,750Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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