Target’s Q3 2026 comparable sales are priced with the 3–5% outcome as the clear leader because Q2 results showed sustained momentum from the ongoing merchandising reset, with comps rising 3.8% year-over-year on 3.6% traffic growth and broad category gains in beauty, hardlines, and food. Net sales advanced 5.3% to $26.5 billion, prompting management to lift full-year net sales guidance to around 5%. Analysts now project Q3 revenue near $27.3 billion, consistent with mid-single-digit comps if traffic and digital trends hold while apparel and home continue to lag. The modest probability on 5%+ reflects execution risk in discretionary categories and typical pre-holiday seasonality, with earnings due November 18.