Recent polling ahead of the October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23-24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party for a consistent third-place finish in the popular vote at around 20-22 percent. Regional patterns reinforce this outlook, with PLQ strength concentrated on the Island of Montreal while trailing elsewhere. The CAQ has posted modest gains under new leadership since the campaign began in late August, narrowing its gap with the PQ in some surveys but remaining vulnerable to further slippage. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register lower single-digit to mid-teen support, limiting their prospects for overtaking the Liberals in overall standing. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote-share hierarchies and the limited volatility observed in the most recent surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.6%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 KL.
$10,706 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
70%
CAQ
19%
PQ
7%
QS
2%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.6%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 KL.
$10,706 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$2,861 KL.
70%
CAQ
$3,511 KL.
19%
PQ
$1,363 KL.
7%
QS
$1,148 KL.
2%
PCQ
$1,225 KL.
1%
PVQ
$597 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of the October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23-24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party for a consistent third-place finish in the popular vote at around 20-22 percent. Regional patterns reinforce this outlook, with PLQ strength concentrated on the Island of Montreal while trailing elsewhere. The CAQ has posted modest gains under new leadership since the campaign began in late August, narrowing its gap with the PQ in some surveys but remaining vulnerable to further slippage. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register lower single-digit to mid-teen support, limiting their prospects for overtaking the Liberals in overall standing. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote-share hierarchies and the limited volatility observed in the most recent surveys.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,706Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of the October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23-24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party for a consistent third-place finish in the popular vote at around 20-22 percent. Regional patterns reinforce this outlook, with PLQ strength concentrated on the Island of Montreal while trailing elsewhere. The CAQ has posted modest gains under new leadership since the campaign began in late August, narrowing its gap with the PQ in some surveys but remaining vulnerable to further slippage. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register lower single-digit to mid-teen support, limiting their prospects for overtaking the Liberals in overall standing. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote-share hierarchies and the limited volatility observed in the most recent surveys.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$10,706Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23-24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party for a consistent third-place finish in the popular vote at around 20-22 percent. Regional patterns reinforce this outlook, with PLQ strength concentrated on the Island of Montreal while trailing elsewhere. The CAQ has posted modest gains under new leadership since the campaign began in late August, narrowing its gap with the PQ in some surveys but remaining vulnerable to further slippage. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register lower single-digit to mid-teen support, limiting their prospects for overtaking the Liberals in overall standing. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote-share hierarchies and the limited volatility observed in the most recent surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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