Dune: Part Three holds the lead at 54% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s consecutive Best Visual Effects wins and Denis Villeneuve’s proven command of large-scale world-building ahead of its December 2026 IMAX release. The crowded field shows tight clustering around 50% for most 2026 titles, underscoring the category’s inherent unpredictability this far from nominations. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% on the strength of its March release and roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and puppetry with digital work, while The Odyssey at 11% and lower-probability entries like Godzilla Minus Zero and Avengers: Doomsday face headwinds from earlier release timing or mixed early industry signals. Key swing factors ahead include Dune’s critical reception, guild shortlists, and how practical-heavy campaigns from Nolan and Lord/Miller resonate with the Academy’s visual effects branch.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
Dune: Part Three 54%
Project Hail Mary 26%
The Odyssey 11%
Godzilla Minus Zero 9.9%
$18,849 KL.
$18,849 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Dune: Part Three
54%
Project Hail Mary
26%
The Odyssey
11%
Godzilla Minus Zero
10%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
3%
Dune: Part Three 54%
Project Hail Mary 26%
The Odyssey 11%
Godzilla Minus Zero 9.9%
$18,849 KL.
$18,849 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Dune: Part Three
$15,571 KL.
54%
Project Hail Mary
$1,626 KL.
26%
The Odyssey
$470 KL.
11%
Godzilla Minus Zero
$477 KL.
10%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$282 KL.
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
$423 KL.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the lead at 54% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s consecutive Best Visual Effects wins and Denis Villeneuve’s proven command of large-scale world-building ahead of its December 2026 IMAX release. The crowded field shows tight clustering around 50% for most 2026 titles, underscoring the category’s inherent unpredictability this far from nominations. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% on the strength of its March release and roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and puppetry with digital work, while The Odyssey at 11% and lower-probability entries like Godzilla Minus Zero and Avengers: Doomsday face headwinds from earlier release timing or mixed early industry signals. Key swing factors ahead include Dune’s critical reception, guild shortlists, and how practical-heavy campaigns from Nolan and Lord/Miller resonate with the Academy’s visual effects branch.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,849Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the lead at 54% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s consecutive Best Visual Effects wins and Denis Villeneuve’s proven command of large-scale world-building ahead of its December 2026 IMAX release. The crowded field shows tight clustering around 50% for most 2026 titles, underscoring the category’s inherent unpredictability this far from nominations. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% on the strength of its March release and roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and puppetry with digital work, while The Odyssey at 11% and lower-probability entries like Godzilla Minus Zero and Avengers: Doomsday face headwinds from earlier release timing or mixed early industry signals. Key swing factors ahead include Dune’s critical reception, guild shortlists, and how practical-heavy campaigns from Nolan and Lord/Miller resonate with the Academy’s visual effects branch.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$18,849Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three holds the lead at 54% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s consecutive Best Visual Effects wins and Denis Villeneuve’s proven command of large-scale world-building ahead of its December 2026 IMAX release. The crowded field shows tight clustering around 50% for most 2026 titles, underscoring the category’s inherent unpredictability this far from nominations. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% on the strength of its March release and roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and puppetry with digital work, while The Odyssey at 11% and lower-probability entries like Godzilla Minus Zero and Avengers: Doomsday face headwinds from earlier release timing or mixed early industry signals. Key swing factors ahead include Dune’s critical reception, guild shortlists, and how practical-heavy campaigns from Nolan and Lord/Miller resonate with the Academy’s visual effects branch.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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