Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at implied probabilities near 61 percent, driven by his record 2025-26 campaign of 61 club goals for Bayern Munich that secured the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe, plus six World Cup goals helping England finish third. Recent nominee announcements and continued scoring in the new Champions League season have reinforced trader consensus around his consistency and volume. Lamine Yamal sits second near 16 percent on the strength of Spain’s World Cup victory and standout Barcelona form, while Kylian Mbappé and Rodri follow at roughly 10 percent and 7 percent respectively, reflecting their club output and Spain’s tournament success. Lionel Messi remains in contention near 3 percent after Argentina’s runner-up finish.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 60.9%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Kylian Mbappé 10.3%
Rodri 7%
$35,223,735 KL.
$35,223,735 KL.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Harry Kane 60.9%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Kylian Mbappé 10.3%
Rodri 7%
$35,223,735 KL.
$35,223,735 KL.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at implied probabilities near 61 percent, driven by his record 2025-26 campaign of 61 club goals for Bayern Munich that secured the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe, plus six World Cup goals helping England finish third. Recent nominee announcements and continued scoring in the new Champions League season have reinforced trader consensus around his consistency and volume. Lamine Yamal sits second near 16 percent on the strength of Spain’s World Cup victory and standout Barcelona form, while Kylian Mbappé and Rodri follow at roughly 10 percent and 7 percent respectively, reflecting their club output and Spain’s tournament success. Lionel Messi remains in contention near 3 percent after Argentina’s runner-up finish.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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