Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the NY-25 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt across Monroe and parts of Ontario counties, his established record since winning a 2018 special election, and strong primary performance in June 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican competitiveness. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with little movement since the primaries. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$33,113 KL.
$33,113 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 KL.
$33,113 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 KL.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the NY-25 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt across Monroe and parts of Ontario counties, his established record since winning a 2018 special election, and strong primary performance in June 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican competitiveness. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with little movement since the primaries. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,113Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the NY-25 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt across Monroe and parts of Ontario counties, his established record since winning a 2018 special election, and strong primary performance in June 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican competitiveness. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with little movement since the primaries. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,113Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the NY-25 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt across Monroe and parts of Ontario counties, his established record since winning a 2018 special election, and strong primary performance in June 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican competitiveness. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with little movement since the primaries. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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