Elon Musk's October 2026 tweet volume market shows a broad distribution centered on high activity, with 1000+ tweets leading at 22.5% implied probability and several 800-999 bins clustered around 12.5% each. Traders price in his established pattern of frequent posting on X, driven by real-time commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and political developments, while factoring in potential slowdowns from travel or focus on major product launches. Recent months have featured sustained high output during earnings cycles and industry news, yet October's proximity to year-end events introduces variability that prevents any single range from dominating. The market reflects aggregated sentiment on his platform engagement habits rather than fixed predictions, with upcoming quarterly updates likely to influence final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1000+ 23%
800-839 13%
840-879 13%
880-919 13%
$104,664 KL.
$104,664 KL.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
4%
780-799
9%
800-839
13%
840-879
13%
880-919
13%
920-959
13%
960-999
13%
1000+
23%
1000+ 23%
800-839 13%
840-879 13%
880-919 13%
$104,664 KL.
$104,664 KL.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
4%
780-799
9%
800-839
13%
840-879
13%
880-919
13%
920-959
13%
960-999
13%
1000+
23%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's October 2026 tweet volume market shows a broad distribution centered on high activity, with 1000+ tweets leading at 22.5% implied probability and several 800-999 bins clustered around 12.5% each. Traders price in his established pattern of frequent posting on X, driven by real-time commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and political developments, while factoring in potential slowdowns from travel or focus on major product launches. Recent months have featured sustained high output during earnings cycles and industry news, yet October's proximity to year-end events introduces variability that prevents any single range from dominating. The market reflects aggregated sentiment on his platform engagement habits rather than fixed predictions, with upcoming quarterly updates likely to influence final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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