Nathalie Roy of the Coalition Avenir Québec holds a narrow lead in the Montarville riding for the October 5 Quebec general election, with trader prices reflecting a competitive contest against Parti Québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier. As incumbent and former National Assembly president, Roy benefits from name recognition in the South Shore suburban district encompassing Boucherville and Saint-Bruno-de-Montarville, where CAQ won comfortably in 2022. Cloutier, a longtime investigative journalist, brings local residency and a profile aligned with rising PQ momentum in provincial polling. Recent candidate nominations, now closed, confirmed a multi-party field that includes Liberal, Québec solidaire, and Conservative contenders, fragmenting the vote in a riding polls project as a toss-up. Provincial trends favoring the PQ in suburban areas, combined with the short campaign window and potential for late shifts in turnout or issue focus, sustain the tight implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNathalie Roy 54%
Jean-François Cloutier 45%
Mathieu Lavoie <1%
Ginette Langlois <1%
Nathalie Roy
54%
Jean-François Cloutier
45%
Mathieu Lavoie
1%
Ginette Langlois
<1%
Nathalie Roy 54%
Jean-François Cloutier 45%
Mathieu Lavoie <1%
Ginette Langlois <1%
Nathalie Roy
54%
Jean-François Cloutier
45%
Mathieu Lavoie
1%
Ginette Langlois
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Nathalie Roy of the Coalition Avenir Québec holds a narrow lead in the Montarville riding for the October 5 Quebec general election, with trader prices reflecting a competitive contest against Parti Québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier. As incumbent and former National Assembly president, Roy benefits from name recognition in the South Shore suburban district encompassing Boucherville and Saint-Bruno-de-Montarville, where CAQ won comfortably in 2022. Cloutier, a longtime investigative journalist, brings local residency and a profile aligned with rising PQ momentum in provincial polling. Recent candidate nominations, now closed, confirmed a multi-party field that includes Liberal, Québec solidaire, and Conservative contenders, fragmenting the vote in a riding polls project as a toss-up. Provincial trends favoring the PQ in suburban areas, combined with the short campaign window and potential for late shifts in turnout or issue focus, sustain the tight implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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