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icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 81%

Junior Caminero 3.9%

Matt Olson 1.6%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket

$3,183,612 KL.

Kyle Schwarber 81%

Junior Caminero 3.9%

Matt Olson 1.6%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket

$3,183,612 KL.

Kyle Schwarber

$41,971 KL.

81%

Junior Caminero

$5,270 KL.

4%

Matt Olson

$5,408 KL.

2%

Yordan Alvarez

$14,910 KL.

1%

Munetaka Murakami

$9,471 KL.

1%

Ben Rice

$3,492 KL.

1%

James Wood

$9,499 KL.

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$2,854 KL.

<1%

Juan Soto

$649,298 KL.

<1%

Mike Trout

$1,749,560 KL.

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$470,930 KL.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$205,910 KL.

<1%

Aaron Judge

$4,680 KL.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$772 KL.

<1%

Eugenio Suarez

$922 KL.

<1%

Pete Alonso

$476 KL.

<1%

Nick Kurtz

$1,516 KL.

<1%

Rafael Devers

$659 KL.

<1%

George Springer

$535 KL.

<1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$664 KL.

<1%

Manny Machado

$547 KL.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$734 KL.

<1%

Sal Stewart

$827 KL.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$1,370 KL.

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$1,341 KL.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead at 44 through mid-September 2026, creating a sizable cushion over pursuers such as Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and Junior Caminero at 40. Trader consensus assigns him an 80% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting his consistent power output, including a grand slam in early September and multiple homers in the prior week. Contenders like Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit in the mid-to-high 30s, while names such as Aaron Judge and Juan Soto trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent barrel rates in favorable matchups have solidified his position in the market, though late surges from multiple batters remain possible in the final stretch.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$3,183,612
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 28, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Người giải quyết

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead at 44 through mid-September 2026, creating a sizable cushion over pursuers such as Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and Junior Caminero at 40. Trader consensus assigns him an 80% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting his consistent power output, including a grand slam in early September and multiple homers in the prior week. Contenders like Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit in the mid-to-high 30s, while names such as Aaron Judge and Juan Soto trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent barrel rates in favorable matchups have solidified his position in the market, though late surges from multiple batters remain possible in the final stretch.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$3,183,612
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 28, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Người giải quyết

0x69c47De9D...

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 25 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Kyle Schwarber" ở mức 81%, tiếp theo là "Junior Caminero" ở mức 4%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 81¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 81% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "MLB: Home Runs Leader" đã tạo $3.2 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 22, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "MLB: Home Runs Leader," duyệt 25 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "MLB: Home Runs Leader" là "Kyle Schwarber" ở mức 81%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 81% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Junior Caminero" ở mức 4%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "MLB: Home Runs Leader" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.