**Republican candidates hold an 82.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election market, compared with 14% for Democrats, reflecting the state's strong Republican lean in federal contests and the open-seat dynamic created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear.** The May 18, 2027 primaries remain months away, but early positioning favors the GOP. On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor Jacqueline Coleman leads former senior adviser Rocky Adkins in limited polling, yet both face a general-election environment where Kentucky supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican interest centers on figures such as U.S. Representative James Comer, with other potential contenders declining or endorsing early. Prediction markets and polling aggregates consistently price Republican victory as the consensus outcome due to these structural factors, though primary results and candidate quality could still shift probabilities before November 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
83%
Democrat
14%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
$2,130 KL.
83%
Democrat
$147 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican candidates hold an 82.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election market, compared with 14% for Democrats, reflecting the state's strong Republican lean in federal contests and the open-seat dynamic created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear.**
The May 18, 2027 primaries remain months away, but early positioning favors the GOP. On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor Jacqueline Coleman leads former senior adviser Rocky Adkins in limited polling, yet both face a general-election environment where Kentucky supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican interest centers on figures such as U.S. Representative James Comer, with other potential contenders declining or endorsing early. Prediction markets and polling aggregates consistently price Republican victory as the consensus outcome due to these structural factors, though primary results and candidate quality could still shift probabilities before November 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,277Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican candidates hold an 82.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election market, compared with 14% for Democrats, reflecting the state's strong Republican lean in federal contests and the open-seat dynamic created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear.**
The May 18, 2027 primaries remain months away, but early positioning favors the GOP. On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor Jacqueline Coleman leads former senior adviser Rocky Adkins in limited polling, yet both face a general-election environment where Kentucky supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican interest centers on figures such as U.S. Representative James Comer, with other potential contenders declining or endorsing early. Prediction markets and polling aggregates consistently price Republican victory as the consensus outcome due to these structural factors, though primary results and candidate quality could still shift probabilities before November 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$2,277Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Republican candidates hold an 82.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election market, compared with 14% for Democrats, reflecting the state's strong Republican lean in federal contests and the open-seat dynamic created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear.** The May 18, 2027 primaries remain months away, but early positioning favors the GOP. On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor Jacqueline Coleman leads former senior adviser Rocky Adkins in limited polling, yet both face a general-election environment where Kentucky supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican interest centers on figures such as U.S. Representative James Comer, with other potential contenders declining or endorsing early. Prediction markets and polling aggregates consistently price Republican victory as the consensus outcome due to these structural factors, though primary results and candidate quality could still shift probabilities before November 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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