Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+11 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent since 2015 with deep local roots and a family legacy in the district, LaHood advanced easily through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Paul Nolley’s more limited resources. Nolley, a nonprofit executive who won the Democratic primary unopposed, has focused on working-class issues and trades programs but faces structural barriers in a rural, conservative-leaning district that has favored Republicans for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$38,992 KL.
$38,992 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
7%
$38,992 KL.
$38,992 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
$15,407 KL.
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
$23,585 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+11 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent since 2015 with deep local roots and a family legacy in the district, LaHood advanced easily through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Paul Nolley’s more limited resources. Nolley, a nonprofit executive who won the Democratic primary unopposed, has focused on working-class issues and trades programs but faces structural barriers in a rural, conservative-leaning district that has favored Republicans for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,992Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+11 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent since 2015 with deep local roots and a family legacy in the district, LaHood advanced easily through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Paul Nolley’s more limited resources. Nolley, a nonprofit executive who won the Democratic primary unopposed, has focused on working-class issues and trades programs but faces structural barriers in a rural, conservative-leaning district that has favored Republicans for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$38,992Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+11 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent since 2015 with deep local roots and a family legacy in the district, LaHood advanced easily through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Paul Nolley’s more limited resources. Nolley, a nonprofit executive who won the Democratic primary unopposed, has focused on working-class issues and trades programs but faces structural barriers in a rural, conservative-leaning district that has favored Republicans for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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