Recent forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum near 20°C in Munich on September 17, driven by stable mid-September atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies limiting solar insolation, and dew points around 11–12°C that moderate daytime warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 19.5°C for the date, positioning 20°C and 21°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 52.5% and 35%. Limited convective activity and no significant warm advection keep probabilities for extremes below 2%, with any intraday shifts likely resolved by afternoon observations from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 17?
20°C 52%
21°C 36%
19°C 9%
22°C 4%
$26,920 KL.
$26,920 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
52%
21°C
36%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 52%
21°C 36%
19°C 9%
22°C 4%
$26,920 KL.
$26,920 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
$997 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,380 KL.
<1%
18°C
$2,104 KL.
2%
19°C
$2,404 KL.
9%
20°C
$4,589 KL.
52%
21°C
$5,118 KL.
36%
22°C
$3,993 KL.
4%
23°C
$2,013 KL.
2%
24°C
$1,091 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,678 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$553 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum near 20°C in Munich on September 17, driven by stable mid-September atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies limiting solar insolation, and dew points around 11–12°C that moderate daytime warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 19.5°C for the date, positioning 20°C and 21°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 52.5% and 35%. Limited convective activity and no significant warm advection keep probabilities for extremes below 2%, with any intraday shifts likely resolved by afternoon observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,920Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum near 20°C in Munich on September 17, driven by stable mid-September atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies limiting solar insolation, and dew points around 11–12°C that moderate daytime warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 19.5°C for the date, positioning 20°C and 21°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 52.5% and 35%. Limited convective activity and no significant warm advection keep probabilities for extremes below 2%, with any intraday shifts likely resolved by afternoon observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26,920Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum near 20°C in Munich on September 17, driven by stable mid-September atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies limiting solar insolation, and dew points around 11–12°C that moderate daytime warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 19.5°C for the date, positioning 20°C and 21°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 52.5% and 35%. Limited convective activity and no significant warm advection keep probabilities for extremes below 2%, with any intraday shifts likely resolved by afternoon observations from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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