**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow.** Dry air with low humidity and minimal cloud cover will promote efficient daytime solar heating, while a stable high-pressure ridge limits mixing or cooling influences. Recent observations show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C, with consistent model agreement across successive updates and no significant precipitation or frontal activity expected. Traders have priced the 31°C outcome highest at 58% implied probability, reflecting confidence in these short-range forecasts ahead of official station readings that resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
31°C 54%
32°C 24%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
MỚI
$13,215 KL.
MỚI
$13,215 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
54%
32°C
24%
33°C
16%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 54%
32°C 24%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
MỚI
$13,215 KL.
MỚI
$13,215 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$394 KL.
<1%
26°C
$763 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,115 KL.
2%
28°C
$671 KL.
2%
29°C
$1,389 KL.
3%
30°C
$802 KL.
7%
31°C
$3,711 KL.
54%
32°C
$1,710 KL.
24%
33°C
$1,802 KL.
16%
34°C
$420 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$438 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow.** Dry air with low humidity and minimal cloud cover will promote efficient daytime solar heating, while a stable high-pressure ridge limits mixing or cooling influences. Recent observations show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C, with consistent model agreement across successive updates and no significant precipitation or frontal activity expected. Traders have priced the 31°C outcome highest at 58% implied probability, reflecting confidence in these short-range forecasts ahead of official station readings that resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,215Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow.** Dry air with low humidity and minimal cloud cover will promote efficient daytime solar heating, while a stable high-pressure ridge limits mixing or cooling influences. Recent observations show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C, with consistent model agreement across successive updates and no significant precipitation or frontal activity expected. Traders have priced the 31°C outcome highest at 58% implied probability, reflecting confidence in these short-range forecasts ahead of official station readings that resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,215Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow.** Dry air with low humidity and minimal cloud cover will promote efficient daytime solar heating, while a stable high-pressure ridge limits mixing or cooling influences. Recent observations show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C, with consistent model agreement across successive updates and no significant precipitation or frontal activity expected. Traders have priced the 31°C outcome highest at 58% implied probability, reflecting confidence in these short-range forecasts ahead of official station readings that resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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