**Beatriz Mojica Morga leads the Guerrero gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus at 84% implied probability, driven by her September 14, 2026 designation as Morena’s state coordinator for the 4T coalition ahead of the June 2027 election.** Internal party surveys and mirror polls positioned her ahead of other aspirants during the June registration period, where roughly 15–17 Morena-aligned figures—including Esthela Damián Peralta, Abelina López Rodríguez, and others—formalized candidacies. Mojica’s profile as a sitting senator with prior gubernatorial experience and established territorial work has translated into leading general-election polling, where Morena holds 43–46% support against a fragmented opposition led by PRI figures such as Manuel Añorve Baños. Recent surveys show her personal favorability rising to 55%, widening her edge over rivals. Low probabilities for listed alternatives reflect the coalition’s dominance and the binding nature of the internal selection process, though late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBeatriz Mojica Morga 84.8%
Esthela Damián Peralta 4.5%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%
Manuel Añorve Baños 1.1%
$76,477 KL.
$76,477 KL.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
85%
Esthela Damián Peralta
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 84.8%
Esthela Damián Peralta 4.5%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%
Manuel Añorve Baños 1.1%
$76,477 KL.
$76,477 KL.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
85%
Esthela Damián Peralta
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Beatriz Mojica Morga leads the Guerrero gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus at 84% implied probability, driven by her September 14, 2026 designation as Morena’s state coordinator for the 4T coalition ahead of the June 2027 election.** Internal party surveys and mirror polls positioned her ahead of other aspirants during the June registration period, where roughly 15–17 Morena-aligned figures—including Esthela Damián Peralta, Abelina López Rodríguez, and others—formalized candidacies. Mojica’s profile as a sitting senator with prior gubernatorial experience and established territorial work has translated into leading general-election polling, where Morena holds 43–46% support against a fragmented opposition led by PRI figures such as Manuel Añorve Baños. Recent surveys show her personal favorability rising to 55%, widening her edge over rivals. Low probabilities for listed alternatives reflect the coalition’s dominance and the binding nature of the internal selection process, though late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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