The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote to run its own closed primary, rather than join the proposed United Left process, has left the October 11 contest without its largest potential participant. La France Insoumise and the French Communist Party have remained outside from the outset, while L’Après and Debout! have seen candidate withdrawals that further narrow the field to a handful of smaller formations. These developments have produced the current trader consensus that organizers will formally cancel the vote or that the required threshold of participating groups will not be met. A late reversal would require the remaining parties to proceed unilaterally with the scheduled balloting or secure new commitments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrance United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner
Canceled 92.1%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$229,033 KL.
$229,033 KL.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 92.1%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$229,033 KL.
$229,033 KL.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$93,023 KL.
92%
François Ruffin
$31,157 KL.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 KL.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$50,040 KL.
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 KL.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 KL.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote to run its own closed primary, rather than join the proposed United Left process, has left the October 11 contest without its largest potential participant. La France Insoumise and the French Communist Party have remained outside from the outset, while L’Après and Debout! have seen candidate withdrawals that further narrow the field to a handful of smaller formations. These developments have produced the current trader consensus that organizers will formally cancel the vote or that the required threshold of participating groups will not be met. A late reversal would require the remaining parties to proceed unilaterally with the scheduled balloting or secure new commitments before resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$229,033Ngày kết thúc
Apr 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote to run its own closed primary, rather than join the proposed United Left process, has left the October 11 contest without its largest potential participant. La France Insoumise and the French Communist Party have remained outside from the outset, while L’Après and Debout! have seen candidate withdrawals that further narrow the field to a handful of smaller formations. These developments have produced the current trader consensus that organizers will formally cancel the vote or that the required threshold of participating groups will not be met. A late reversal would require the remaining parties to proceed unilaterally with the scheduled balloting or secure new commitments before resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$229,033Ngày kết thúc
Apr 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote to run its own closed primary, rather than join the proposed United Left process, has left the October 11 contest without its largest potential participant. La France Insoumise and the French Communist Party have remained outside from the outset, while L’Après and Debout! have seen candidate withdrawals that further narrow the field to a handful of smaller formations. These developments have produced the current trader consensus that organizers will formally cancel the vote or that the required threshold of participating groups will not be met. A late reversal would require the remaining parties to proceed unilaterally with the scheduled balloting or secure new commitments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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