Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the Drummond–Bois-Francs seat, reflecting recent provincial polling trends that show the PQ leading or competitive in the riding ahead of the October 5 general election. Models updated in mid-September project the PQ ahead on popular vote with elevated odds of victory in this Centre-du-Québec district, aided by Page’s August nomination and public profile as an alpinist. Incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 12%, consistent with the party’s softer standing in updated forecasts, while Conservative candidate Myriam Cournoyer registers minimal support. The multi-candidate field and boundary adjustments from the prior map add layers of uncertainty typical of Quebec’s first-past-the-post system.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCharles Page 84%
Sébastien Schneeberger 11%
Myriam Cournoyer <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Charles Page
84%
Sébastien Schneeberger
11%
Myriam Cournoyer
1%
Charles Page 84%
Sébastien Schneeberger 11%
Myriam Cournoyer <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Charles Page
$1,013 KL.
84%
Sébastien Schneeberger
$3,557 KL.
11%
Myriam Cournoyer
$2,151 KL.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the Drummond–Bois-Francs seat, reflecting recent provincial polling trends that show the PQ leading or competitive in the riding ahead of the October 5 general election. Models updated in mid-September project the PQ ahead on popular vote with elevated odds of victory in this Centre-du-Québec district, aided by Page’s August nomination and public profile as an alpinist. Incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 12%, consistent with the party’s softer standing in updated forecasts, while Conservative candidate Myriam Cournoyer registers minimal support. The multi-candidate field and boundary adjustments from the prior map add layers of uncertainty typical of Quebec’s first-past-the-post system.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,721Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the Drummond–Bois-Francs seat, reflecting recent provincial polling trends that show the PQ leading or competitive in the riding ahead of the October 5 general election. Models updated in mid-September project the PQ ahead on popular vote with elevated odds of victory in this Centre-du-Québec district, aided by Page’s August nomination and public profile as an alpinist. Incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 12%, consistent with the party’s softer standing in updated forecasts, while Conservative candidate Myriam Cournoyer registers minimal support. The multi-candidate field and boundary adjustments from the prior map add layers of uncertainty typical of Quebec’s first-past-the-post system.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Khối lượng
$6,721Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the Drummond–Bois-Francs seat, reflecting recent provincial polling trends that show the PQ leading or competitive in the riding ahead of the October 5 general election. Models updated in mid-September project the PQ ahead on popular vote with elevated odds of victory in this Centre-du-Québec district, aided by Page’s August nomination and public profile as an alpinist. Incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 12%, consistent with the party’s softer standing in updated forecasts, while Conservative candidate Myriam Cournoyer registers minimal support. The multi-candidate field and boundary adjustments from the prior map add layers of uncertainty typical of Quebec’s first-past-the-post system.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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