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icon for Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

icon for Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

8% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
8% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed in mid-August 2026 in the Southern District of New York challenges the Truth API paid feed launched August 1, which offers subscribers priority access to President Trump’s Truth Social posts for up to $100,000 per month. Plaintiffs argue the arrangement violates the First Amendment by creating unequal access to official announcements, and they filed a preliminary injunction motion in early September. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no temporary restraining order, hearing, or ruling issued to date. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any appeal typically extend beyond the October 31 deadline, while the service continues operating with reported subscribers. Traders therefore assign high probability that no court order will suspend the plan by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,615
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Người giải quyết

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed in mid-August 2026 in the Southern District of New York challenges the Truth API paid feed launched August 1, which offers subscribers priority access to President Trump’s Truth Social posts for up to $100,000 per month. Plaintiffs argue the arrangement violates the First Amendment by creating unequal access to official announcements, and they filed a preliminary injunction motion in early September. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no temporary restraining order, hearing, or ruling issued to date. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any appeal typically extend beyond the October 31 deadline, while the service continues operating with reported subscribers. Traders therefore assign high probability that no court order will suspend the plan by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,615
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Người giải quyết

0x65070BE91...

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 8% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 8¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 8% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Aug 25, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?" là 8% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 8% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.