California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of Alameda County including Oakland and Berkeley, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and delivered roughly 85% support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Following the June 2026 top-two primary, incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce both advanced to the November 3 general election while the sole Republican candidate received negligible write-in support and failed to qualify. This intra-party matchup, combined with the district's structural partisan composition and absence of a viable Republican nominee, produces trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal disqualification, or unusual ballot-access development would be required to alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$44,263 KL.
$44,263 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$44,263 KL.
$44,263 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,011 KL.
98%
Republican Party
$17,251 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of Alameda County including Oakland and Berkeley, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and delivered roughly 85% support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Following the June 2026 top-two primary, incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce both advanced to the November 3 general election while the sole Republican candidate received negligible write-in support and failed to qualify. This intra-party matchup, combined with the district's structural partisan composition and absence of a viable Republican nominee, produces trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal disqualification, or unusual ballot-access development would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$44,263Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of Alameda County including Oakland and Berkeley, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and delivered roughly 85% support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Following the June 2026 top-two primary, incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce both advanced to the November 3 general election while the sole Republican candidate received negligible write-in support and failed to qualify. This intra-party matchup, combined with the district's structural partisan composition and absence of a viable Republican nominee, produces trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal disqualification, or unusual ballot-access development would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$44,263Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of Alameda County including Oakland and Berkeley, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and delivered roughly 85% support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Following the June 2026 top-two primary, incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce both advanced to the November 3 general election while the sole Republican candidate received negligible write-in support and failed to qualify. This intra-party matchup, combined with the district's structural partisan composition and absence of a viable Republican nominee, produces trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal disqualification, or unusual ballot-access development would be required to alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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