**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 election results, by-election wins, and floor-crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or parliamentary pressure that would prompt an early dissolution.** Recent polling aggregates show the party holding a double-digit lead in popular support, translating to projected seat majorities well above the 172-seat threshold. The three by-elections held August 31, 2026, further strengthened the Liberals’ position in the House of Commons amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With the fixed-date election set for October 2029 and no scheduled votes of non-confidence or signals of snap-election intent, trader consensus reflects low implied probability of another federal election being called in the near term. Developments such as continued economic diplomacy and domestic polling stability continue to reinforce this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$94,880 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
7%
$94,880 KL.
December 31, 2026
$3,222 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 election results, by-election wins, and floor-crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or parliamentary pressure that would prompt an early dissolution.** Recent polling aggregates show the party holding a double-digit lead in popular support, translating to projected seat majorities well above the 172-seat threshold. The three by-elections held August 31, 2026, further strengthened the Liberals’ position in the House of Commons amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With the fixed-date election set for October 2029 and no scheduled votes of non-confidence or signals of snap-election intent, trader consensus reflects low implied probability of another federal election being called in the near term. Developments such as continued economic diplomacy and domestic polling stability continue to reinforce this positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$94,880Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 election results, by-election wins, and floor-crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or parliamentary pressure that would prompt an early dissolution.** Recent polling aggregates show the party holding a double-digit lead in popular support, translating to projected seat majorities well above the 172-seat threshold. The three by-elections held August 31, 2026, further strengthened the Liberals’ position in the House of Commons amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With the fixed-date election set for October 2029 and no scheduled votes of non-confidence or signals of snap-election intent, trader consensus reflects low implied probability of another federal election being called in the near term. Developments such as continued economic diplomacy and domestic polling stability continue to reinforce this positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$94,880Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 election results, by-election wins, and floor-crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or parliamentary pressure that would prompt an early dissolution.** Recent polling aggregates show the party holding a double-digit lead in popular support, translating to projected seat majorities well above the 172-seat threshold. The three by-elections held August 31, 2026, further strengthened the Liberals’ position in the House of Commons amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With the fixed-date election set for October 2029 and no scheduled votes of non-confidence or signals of snap-election intent, trader consensus reflects low implied probability of another federal election being called in the near term. Developments such as continued economic diplomacy and domestic polling stability continue to reinforce this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp